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Florida poll: Republicans lead in the races for governor and Senate

Jolly is Donalds’s opponent in the governor’s race covered by the poll.

Florida poll: Republicans lead in the races for governor and Senate
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This article1 analysis · Oct 7, 2026
NBC News
Oct 7, 2026
tl;dr

A new Florida poll shows Byron Donalds leading David Jolly in the governor’s race and Sen. Ashley Moody leading Angie Nixon in the Senate race. The survey also finds mixed views among Hispanic voters and divided opinions on immigration enforcement and a property-tax ballot measure.

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David W. Jolly Former U.S. Representative (R-FL)
NOT RATEDCLOSED

No good or bad look here

This story reports what happened without casting Jolly in a good or bad light, so readers don’t rate it and it doesn’t count toward Jolly’s record.

● INFORMATIONAL

People in this story

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David W. Jolly
Former U.S. Representative (R-FL)

Republican candidate for Florida governor

PRIMARY SUBJECT

Democratic candidate challenging Ashley Moody for the U.S. Senate

Nixon's version of this story ↗
Ashley Moody
R · FL · SEN

U.S. senator and Republican candidate in Florida’s Senate race

Moody's version of this story ↗
Byron Donalds
R · FL-19

Republican candidate for Florida governor

Donalds's version of this story ↗
Donald Trump
R · President of the United States

President discussed in connection with Florida voter views and job approval

Former president referenced for his 2020 result in Miami-Dade County

Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee chair commenting on Florida House races

Ron DeSantis
Former U.S. Representative (R-FL)

Term-limited Florida governor who supports the property-tax ballot measure

Democrat defeated by Angie Nixon in the primary

Part of a bigger story

8 OUTLETS
Florida Polls Show Donalds Leading Jolly in Governor’s Race

Poll coverage reports Byron Donalds ahead of David Jolly in Florida’s governor’s race; the Mason-Dixon poll puts Donalds seven points ahead. Center outlets mostly present polling figures as snapshots, while some note the race is close or that surveys differ. Right-leaning outlets emphasize Republican leads, with The Floridian also covering a Donalds campaign ad attacking Jolly.

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