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Florida poll: Republicans lead in the races for governor and Senate

Jolly is Donalds’s opponent in the governor’s race, with the poll showing him nine points behind.

Florida poll: Republicans lead in the races for governor and Senate
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This article1 analysis · Oct 8, 2026
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Oct 7, 2026
tl;dr

A Florida poll found Republican Byron Donalds leading Democrat David Jolly in the governor’s race and Republican Sen. Ashley Moody leading challenger Angie Nixon in the Senate race. It also showed mixed views among Hispanic voters and divided opinions on immigration enforcement and a property-tax measure.

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VOTING CLOSED
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David W. Jolly Former U.S. Representative (R-FL)
NOT RATEDCLOSED

No good or bad look here

This story reports what happened without casting Jolly in a good or bad light, so readers don’t rate it and it doesn’t count toward Jolly’s record.

● INFORMATIONAL

People in this story

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David W. Jolly
Former U.S. Representative (R-FL)

Democratic candidate for Florida governor

PRIMARY SUBJECT

Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate in Florida

Nixon's version of this story ↗
Ashley Moody
R · FL · SEN

U.S. senator from Florida and Republican Senate candidate

Moody's version of this story ↗
Byron Donalds
R · FL-19

Republican candidate for Florida governor

Donalds's version of this story ↗
Donald Trump
R · President of the United States

President of the United States; his job approval and standing with Florida voters are reported

Former president, mentioned for his 2020 result in Miami-Dade County

Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee chair

Ron DeSantis
Former U.S. Representative (R-FL)

Florida governor

Former Democratic primary opponent of Angie Nixon

Part of a bigger story

8 OUTLETS
Florida Polls Show Donalds Leading Jolly in Governor’s Race

Poll coverage reports Byron Donalds ahead of David Jolly in Florida’s governor’s race; the Mason-Dixon poll puts Donalds seven points ahead. Center outlets mostly present polling figures as snapshots, while some note the race is close or that surveys differ. Right-leaning outlets emphasize Republican leads, with The Floridian also covering a Donalds campaign ad attacking Jolly.

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