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● InformationalElections / Campaigns

David Jolly Within Striking Distance of Byron Donalds: Florida Poll

Jolly is Donalds’s opponent in a close Florida governor’s race, with some polls and forecasters showing momentum toward Democrats.

David Jolly Within Striking Distance of Byron Donalds: Florida Poll
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This article1 analysis · Oct 7, 2026
Newsweek
Oct 7, 2026
tl;dr

A YouGov poll puts Representative Byron Donalds two points ahead of David Jolly in Florida’s gubernatorial race, within the poll’s margin of error. The article compares other polls and forecasts and also reports a separate Senate poll showing Ashley Moody ahead of Angela Nixon.

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David W. Jolly Former U.S. Representative (R-FL)
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No good or bad look here

This story reports what happened without casting Jolly in a good or bad light, so readers don’t rate it and it doesn’t count toward Jolly’s record.

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People in this story

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David W. Jolly
Former U.S. Representative (R-FL)

Democratic candidate for Florida governor and former representative

PRIMARY SUBJECT
Byron Donalds
R · FL-19

Republican candidate for Florida governor and current representative

Donalds's version of this story ↗
Ashley Moody
R · FL · SEN

Republican candidate in Florida’s Senate race and senator

Moody's version of this story ↗

Democratic candidate in Florida’s Senate race and state representative

Nixon's version of this story ↗
Charlie Crist
Former U.S. Representative (D-FL)

Former Florida governor and Democratic candidate in the 2022 gubernatorial election

Donald Trump
R · President of the United States

President and political figure cited in polling and campaign context

Kamala Harris
Former U.S. Senator (D-CA)

Former presidential candidate referenced in the poll’s comparison of 2024 voters

Ron DeSantis
Former U.S. Representative (R-FL)

Florida governor discussed as context for the governor’s race and the state’s political history

Marco Rubio
Secretary of State

Former Florida senator who became secretary of state

Bill Nelson
Former U.S. Senator (D-FL)

Former Florida senator mentioned in the state’s Senate election history

Retired Army lieutenant colonel and defeated Democratic candidate in Florida’s Senate primary

ALSO MENTIONED  Andrew Gillum, Democratic candidate in Florida’s 2018 gubernatorial election; Casey DeSantis, Florida first lady mentioned in connection with the Hope Florida Foundation; Emily Gregory, Democratic candidate who won a Florida House special election; Gwen Graham, Former Democratic representative and Jolly’s running mate; Jay Collins, Florida lieutenant governor and Republican candidate in the governor’s primary; Jon Maples, Republican candidate defeated by Emily Gregory in a Florida House special election; Lawton Chiles, Former Florida governor mentioned in the state’s electoral history

Part of a bigger story

8 OUTLETS
Florida Polls Show Donalds Leading Jolly in Governor’s Race

Poll coverage reports Byron Donalds ahead of David Jolly in Florida’s governor’s race; the Mason-Dixon poll puts Donalds seven points ahead. Center outlets mostly present polling figures as snapshots, while some note the race is close or that surveys differ. Right-leaning outlets emphasize Republican leads, with The Floridian also covering a Donalds campaign ad attacking Jolly.

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