David Jolly Within Striking Distance of Byron Donalds: Florida Poll
A YouGov poll puts Donalds two points ahead of David Jolly in the Florida governor’s race.

SOURCE CHECK
TAP FOR WHYNewsweek is an established national news organization with identifiable authorship and editorial processes. This article attributes polling figures and quotations to named sources and provides details about the surveys, though it does not link to the underlying poll reports in the text.
- Source type — Established national news publisher; a relatively strong institutional baseline.
- Editorial standards — The article attributes claims and polling results to named organizations and sources.
- Author attribution — A named author is identified.
- Transparency — It gives field dates, sample sizes for several polls, and margins or results, but underlying documentation is not included in the text.
The article gives survey dates, sample sizes and results, places the lead in context of the margin of error, compares multiple polls and forecast ratings, and includes comments from both campaigns and a named political professor. The underlying poll documents and methodological details are not directly presented, and the campaigns did not provide comment to Newsweek at the time of publication.
HOW WE SCORE ↗The article offers a range of polling results, historical context and statements from both campaigns, while the poll discussion relies heavily on polling and forecast sources rather than direct candidate interviews.
- Source diversity — Compares several polling organizations, forecast outlets, a political professor and campaign statements.
- Counterarguments presented — Shows polls favoring both candidates in the governor’s race and includes responses from both campaigns where available.
- Omitted context — Underlying poll questionnaires and fuller methodological documentation are not provided.
- Opinion vs reporting — The piece is presented as reporting and uses generally restrained language.
The article presents competing polling results and forecast changes in mostly neutral language, without an evident partisan frame or evaluative verdict.
- Language tone — Primarily factual descriptions of survey results and forecast changes.
- Source selection — Includes polling from organizations with differing results and comments from both campaigns.
- Framing — Frames the story around poll uncertainty and changing race ratings rather than endorsing a candidate.
A YouGov poll puts Representative Byron Donalds two points ahead of David Jolly in Florida’s gubernatorial race, within the poll’s margin of error. The article compares other polls and forecasts and also reports a separate Senate poll showing Ashley Moody ahead of Angela Nixon.
The YouGov survey of likely voters, conducted September 28 to October 5, found Byron Donalds at 47 percent and David Jolly at 45 percent, with 7 percent undecided. The article notes that the two-point difference is within the poll’s margin of error and compares the result with other recent surveys, which have produced varying leads. Election forecasters have also shifted their ratings of the governor’s race toward Democrats, though prediction markets still favor Donalds.
In Florida’s Senate race, the same YouGov poll found Ashley Moody leading Angela Nixon 49 percent to 44 percent. The article also reviews other polling and reports that Nixon has criticized Moody over a grand jury report concerning a Medicaid settlement. It says early voting begins later in the month and the election is November 3.
Community verdict
7 VOTESCounts every outlet’s report of this story. See all 10
- Readers of left-leaning coverage: not enough votes yet
- Readers of right-leaning coverage: 50% good look
Votes cast on this page
Votes cast on this page: ▲ 0 · ◆ 0 · ▼ 0
People in this story
SWIPE →Republican candidate for Florida governor and current representative
Democratic candidate in Florida’s Senate race and state representative
Nixon's version of this story ↗Republican candidate in Florida’s Senate race and senator
Moody's version of this story ↗Democratic candidate for Florida governor and former representative
Jolly's version of this story ↗Former Florida governor and Democratic candidate in the 2022 gubernatorial election
President and political figure cited in polling and campaign context
Former presidential candidate referenced in the poll’s comparison of 2024 voters
Florida governor discussed as context for the governor’s race and the state’s political history
Former Florida senator who became secretary of state
Former Florida senator mentioned in the state’s Senate election history
Retired Army lieutenant colonel and defeated Democratic candidate in Florida’s Senate primary
Part of a bigger story
8 OUTLETSDonalds’s campaign has released ads targeting David Jolly as the two compete in Florida’s governor’s race. Center outlets pair coverage of Donalds’s Trump and DeSantis endorsements with polling and a report on an ad criticizing him. Right-leaning outlets emphasize his poll lead and an ad portraying Jolly as too far left for Florida.
- ARTICLES
- 10
- OUTLETS
- 8
- AVG CRED
- 70
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