Decision 2026: Who's Leading in Florida? Here are the latest poll results
A poll found Donalds leading Democrat David Jolly in the Florida governor’s race.

SOURCE CHECK
TAP FOR WHYNBC 6 South Florida is an established local television newsroom with an identified author and a clear report of the polling firm and methodology. The article provides poll details but does not show its own corrections practices or a broader record of original reporting.
- Source type — Established local-news television outlet; a solid institutional basis for credibility.
- Transparency — Identifies the polling firm, dates, sample size, survey mode and margin of error.
- Author attribution — The article names Brian Hamacher as author.
- Editorial standards — The page gives no direct information about corrections practices or editorial standards.
The report gives specific poll results and useful information about the poll’s field dates, sample, likely-voter population and margin of error. It relies on one survey and offers little context for evaluating the results or responses from the candidates.
HOW WE SCORE ↗The article transparently reports results for competing candidates and multiple voter groups. It relies on one poll and does not include candidate responses or independent analysis of the survey.
- Source diversity — The results come from one poll conducted by Mason-Dixon.
- Counterarguments presented — Reports support for opposing candidates and positions, but does not quote candidates or outside analysts.
- Opinion vs reporting — Presents itself as a news report and largely sticks to attributed figures.
- Omitted context — Provides survey methodology but little context for comparison with other polling or assessment of the poll.
The report presents poll figures in neutral language and does not visibly favor a party or candidate. Its focus is on reporting results rather than advocating a political position.
- Language tone — Uses straightforward, non-evaluative wording to report poll results.
- Framing — Covers races and several issue questions without an evident partisan frame.
- Source selection — Attributes the findings to a named polling firm and gives methodological details.
A new NBC6/Telemundo poll found Republican candidates leading in Florida’s gubernatorial and U.S. Senate races, with voters also weighing a proposed tax amendment and several policy issues.
The poll found Byron Donalds leading David Jolly 48% to 41% in the Florida governor’s race. In the U.S. Senate race, Ashley Moody led Angela Nixon 50% to 40%; independent Neil Gillespie received 2%, and 8% were undecided.
The survey also found 55% support for Florida’s proposed Amendment 3, which would increase the homestead exemption for non-school property taxes. Voters were divided on President Trump’s job performance, and the poll asked about household finances, immigration enforcement, artificial intelligence and data centers. Mason-Dixon surveyed 625 likely voters by telephone from Sept. 28 to Oct. 1; the stated margin of error was no more than four percentage points.
Community verdict
7 VOTESCounts every outlet’s report of this story. See all 10
- Readers of left-leaning coverage: not enough votes yet
- Readers of right-leaning coverage: 50% good look
Votes cast on this page
Votes cast on this page: ▲ 0 · ◆ 0 · ▼ 0
People in this story
SWIPE →Democratic candidate for Florida governor
Jolly's version of this story ↗President of the United States; the poll measured Florida voters’ approval of his job performance
Independent candidate in the Florida U.S. Senate race
Democratic candidate in the Florida U.S. Senate race
Republican candidate in the Florida U.S. Senate race
Florida governor, whose term limit is noted in the governor’s race coverage
Part of a bigger story
8 OUTLETSDonalds’s campaign has released ads targeting David Jolly as the two compete in Florida’s governor’s race. Center outlets pair coverage of Donalds’s Trump and DeSantis endorsements with polling and a report on an ad criticizing him. Right-leaning outlets emphasize his poll lead and an ad portraying Jolly as too far left for Florida.
- ARTICLES
- 10
- OUTLETS
- 8
- AVG CRED
- 70
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