Florida poll: Republicans lead in the races for governor and Senate
Nixon is Moody’s challenger in the Senate race, and the poll places her behind.

SOURCE CHECK
TAP FOR WHYNBC News is an established national news organization with professional editorial standards and attributed reporting. The article identifies its polling partners and provides sample sizes and margins of error, though it does not give full polling documentation here.
- Track record — Established national news organization with a substantial record of reporting.
- Editorial standards — Professional newsroom with established editorial processes.
- Transparency — Poll partners, sample sizes and margins of error are reported.
- Author attribution — Named author is identified.
The article reports specific poll results, identifies the pollsters, provides sample sizes and margins of error, and includes issue and demographic findings. It offers limited detail about the poll’s methodology and does not provide responses from the candidates.
HOW WE SCORE ↗The article gives poll figures for both sides of the races and reports differing voter views on policy issues. It provides little candidate response or independent examination of the poll’s methodology.
- Counterarguments presented — The article reports both sides’ polling figures and competing views among voter groups.
- Source diversity — Polling data is supplemented by a comment from a Democratic campaign committee chair, but candidate perspectives are absent.
- Omitted context — Limited methodological detail and no candidate responses constrain the context.
- Loaded language — The account is generally restrained and descriptive.
The article presents poll results and voter views in neutral language, with no clear partisan framing or evaluative wording.
- Language tone — Mostly descriptive wording and attributed claims.
- Framing — The piece is framed around the poll’s results across two races and voter groups.
- Source selection — Poll results and a named Democratic committee chair are included; the candidates’ responses are not included.
- Headline — The headline summarizes the Republican leads without overtly praising or condemning them.
A new Florida poll shows Byron Donalds leading David Jolly in the governor’s race and Sen. Ashley Moody leading Angie Nixon in the Senate race. The survey also finds mixed views among Hispanic voters and divided opinions on immigration enforcement and a property-tax ballot measure.
The NBC South Florida/Telemundo Station Group poll puts Donalds ahead of Jolly by 48% to 41% and Moody ahead of Nixon by 50% to 40%. Among Hispanic voters, Donalds leads Jolly 48% to 43%, while Moody leads Nixon 47% to 40%. The article notes that Donalds has a financial advantage and that Nixon won her primary over Alexander Vindman in August.
The poll found that inflation and the cost of living were the issue most likely to influence voters, while views on immigration enforcement differed sharply by party. It also found 55% support for a Florida ballot measure to increase property-tax exemptions. The survey interviewed 625 likely voters and 400 Hispanic registered voters; the reported margins of error were 4 and 5 percentage points, respectively.
Community verdict
VOTING CLOSEDNo good or bad look here
This story reports what happened without casting Nixon in a good or bad light, so readers don’t rate it and it doesn’t count toward Nixon’s record.
People in this story
SWIPE →Republican candidate for Florida governor
Jolly's version of this story ↗U.S. senator and Republican candidate in Florida’s Senate race
Moody's version of this story ↗President discussed in connection with Florida voter views and job approval
Former president referenced for his 2020 result in Miami-Dade County
Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee chair commenting on Florida House races
Term-limited Florida governor who supports the property-tax ballot measure
Democrat defeated by Angie Nixon in the primary
Part of a bigger story
7 OUTLETSA Mason-Dixon poll found Ashley Moody leading Angie Nixon in Florida’s Senate race and Byron Donalds leading David Jolly in the governor’s race. Center outlets emphasize the poll’s margins and findings about voter groups and policy views. Right-leaning outlets likewise report Republican leads, highlighting Democrats’ standing among Hispanic voters in one article and the governor’s race in another.
- ARTICLES
- 7
- OUTLETS
- 7
- AVG CRED
- 66
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