Skip to main content
Dan SullivanR · AK · SEN
How outlets cover Sullivan · Oct 6, 2026

Sabato’s Crystal Ball Moves Alaska Senate Race to Leans Democrat

Sabato’s Crystal Ball moved its Alaska Senate rating from toss-up to leans Democrat as incumbent Dan Sullivan seeks reelection against Mary Peltola. Coverage centers on whether the shift signals a more competitive race.

Lead article · The Hill · CENTERSabato’s Crystal Ball moves Alaska Senate race to ‘leans Democrat’
Image · The Hill
ARTICLES
3
OUTLETS
3
AVG CRED
73HIGH
AVG BAL
73BALANCED

Community verdict

VOTING CLOSED
How does this story look for
Dan Sullivan R · AK · SEN
NOT RATEDCLOSED

No good or bad look here

This story reports what happened without casting Sullivan in a good or bad light, so readers don’t rate it and it doesn’t count toward Sullivan’s record.

● INFORMATIONAL
tl;drSUMMARY ACROSS OUTLETS

The outlets report that Sabato’s Crystal Ball shifted its Alaska Senate rating from a toss-up to leans Democrat, with incumbent Dan Sullivan seeking reelection against Mary Peltola.

Center outlets frame the shift as a sign of a more competitive race, citing Peltola’s polling lead; The Hill also notes that other forecasters disagree.

Outlets by lean

3 RATED

Compare by side

THE FRAMEAVG CRED 73
“A more competitive reelection race”

Center outlets describe the shift as making Sullivan’s reelection more competitive, citing Peltola’s polling lead; The Hill notes that other forecasters disagree.

3 CENTER ARTICLES
The HillOCT 6 · 10:54 AM ET
Sabato’s Crystal Ball moves Alaska Senate race to ‘leans Democrat’Sullivan is the incumbent whose reelection race was downgraded from a toss-up to leans Democrat.CRED 78BAL 75 PORTRAYS SULLIVAN: NEUTRAL
NewsweekOCT 6 · 11:17 AM ET
Alaska Senate seat leans Democratic for first time in 18 yearsSullivan is seeking reelection as the race rating moves toward his Democratic challenger.CRED 75BAL 70 PORTRAYS SULLIVAN: NEUTRAL
MediaiteOCT 6 · 2:31 PM ET
Sabato’s Crystal Ball Moves Two Key Senate Races Toward Democrats, Including a GOP FlipThe Crystal Ball shifted Alaska’s Senate race toward Democrats and reported polls showing Peltola ahead of Sullivan.CRED 65BAL 75 PORTRAYS SULLIVAN: NEUTRAL

How outlets portrayed Sullivan

Each article counts once, however many sites carried it. Sides are each outlet’s published lean. How portrayal is read

Left: 0 favorable, 0 critical, 0 mixed, 0 neutral. Center: 0 favorable, 0 critical, 0 mixed, 3 neutral. Right: 0 favorable, 0 critical, 0 mixed, 0 neutral.

When each side covered it

Articles per day by side. OCT 6: Left 0, Center 3, Right 0.

NO LEFT OR RIGHT COVERAGE YET
FOLLOW THIS STORY

Only center outlets have covered this. We’ll alert you when a left- or right-leaning outlet does.