Poll Shows Talarico Leading Cornyn and Paxton in Texas Senate Matchups

A Texas poll puts Talarico ahead of Paxton and Cornyn in hypothetical Senate matchups. The coverage diverges over how much confidence to place in the poll.

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tl;drSUMMARY ACROSS OUTLETS

A Texas poll found James Talarico ahead of Ken Paxton and John Cornyn in hypothetical U.S. Senate matchups.

Left-leaning outlets stress that the leads are within the margin of error and note the Republican runoff. Center outlets report the leads, often with margin-of-error or runoff context. Right-leaning outlets question the poll’s reliability, citing the polling director’s Democratic ties.

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Left-leaning

13% · AVG CRED 71

1article · 1 outlet

THE FRAME

“Close leads within margin”

San Antonio Current emphasizes that the leads fall within the margin of error and notes the Republican runoff.

San Antonio Current (cites Texas Tribune)APR 28 · 12:32 PM ET

Talarico leads both Cornyn, Paxton in new poll of Texas' U.S. Senate raceThe poll put Paxton five points behind Talarico as Paxton and Cornyn compete in the Republican Senate runoff.CRED 71BAL 70 INFORMATIONAL

Center

63% · AVG CRED 68

5articles · 5 outlets

THE FRAME

“Poll results with caveats”

Center outlets report Talarico’s leads, with some noting margins of error or the ongoing Republican runoff.

Texas TribuneAPR 28 · 12:15 PM ET

New poll: Democrat James Talarico leads both Republicans in Texas US Senate raceThe poll found Talarico narrowly ahead of Paxton in a hypothetical general-election matchup.CRED 79BAL 70 INFORMATIONALTEXAS TRIBUNE · REPUBLISHED BY SALON

Houston Public Media (cites Texas Tribune)APR 28 · 9:35 AM ET

Talarico leads both Cornyn, Paxton in new poll of Texas' U.S. Senate raceThe polls compare Talarico with Paxton in hypothetical general-election matchups before the Republican runoff.CRED 79BAL 80 INFORMATIONAL

FOX 7 AustinAPR 28 · 1:41 PM ET

Talarico leads Paxton, Cornyn in new US Senate race pollThe poll places Paxton five points behind Talarico in a hypothetical matchup, with Paxton set to face Cornyn in a runoff.CRED 73BAL 65 INFORMATIONAL

Right-leaning

13% · AVG CRED 44

1article · 1 outlet

THE FRAME

“Questioning the poll’s reliability”

townhall.com questions the poll’s results, citing the polling director’s past Democratic roles.

townhall.comAPR 28 · 5:15 PM ET

New Poll Shows James Talarico Leading Ken Paxton and John Cornyn – but There's a ProblemThe poll puts Paxton behind Talarico, while other surveys cited in the article show varying results in the Republican primary against Cornyn.CRED 44BAL 35 INFORMATIONAL

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