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● InformationalElections / Campaigns

New Poll Shows James Talarico Leading Ken Paxton and John Cornyn – but There's a Problem

The poll puts Paxton behind Talarico, while other surveys cited in the article show varying results in the Republican primary against Cornyn.

New Poll Shows James Talarico Leading Ken Paxton and John Cornyn – but There's a Problem
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This article1 analysis · Oct 7, 2026
Apr 28, 2026
tl;dr

A Texas Public Opinion Research poll puts James Talarico ahead of Ken Paxton and John Cornyn in hypothetical Senate matchups. The author questions the results, citing the polling organization director’s Democratic ties and suggesting the findings could favor Talarico.

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How does this story look for
Ken Paxton R · TX
NOT RATEDCLOSED

No good or bad look here

This story reports what happened without casting Paxton in a good or bad light, so readers don’t rate it and it doesn’t count toward Paxton’s record.

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Ken Paxton
R · TX

Texas Senate candidate included in the poll matchups

PRIMARY SUBJECT

Texas Senate candidate whose poll matchups are the focus of the article

Talarico's version of this story ↗
John Cornyn
R · TX · SEN

Senator and Texas Senate candidate included in the poll matchups

Cornyn's version of this story ↗

Representative and participant in the Democratic Senate primary referenced in the article

ALSO MENTIONED  Hillary Clinton, Former presidential candidate whose campaign employed Luke Warford; Luke Warford, Texas Public Opinion Research director and former Democratic candidate and party strategist

Part of a bigger story

8 OUTLETS
Poll Shows Talarico Leading Cornyn and Paxton in Texas Senate Matchups

A Texas poll found James Talarico ahead of Ken Paxton and John Cornyn in hypothetical U.S. Senate matchups. Left-leaning outlets stress that the leads are within the margin of error and note the Republican runoff. Center outlets report the leads, often with margin-of-error or runoff context. Right-leaning outlets question the poll’s reliability, citing the polling director’s Democratic ties.

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