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● InformationalElections / Campaigns

New Poll Shows James Talarico Leading Ken Paxton and John Cornyn – but There's a Problem

A poll shows Talarico leading two Republican candidates in hypothetical Texas Senate matchups, though the author questions the poll’s reliability.

New Poll Shows James Talarico Leading Ken Paxton and John Cornyn – but There's a Problem
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This article1 analysis · Oct 7, 2026
Apr 28, 2026
tl;dr

A Texas Public Opinion Research poll puts James Talarico ahead of Ken Paxton and John Cornyn in hypothetical Senate matchups. The author questions the results, citing the polling organization director’s Democratic ties and suggesting the findings could favor Talarico.

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No good or bad look here

This story reports what happened without casting Talarico in a good or bad light, so readers don’t rate it and it doesn’t count toward Talarico’s record.

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Texas Senate candidate whose poll matchups are the focus of the article

PRIMARY SUBJECT
Ken Paxton
R · TX

Texas Senate candidate included in the poll matchups

Paxton's version of this story ↗
John Cornyn
R · TX · SEN

Senator and Texas Senate candidate included in the poll matchups

Cornyn's version of this story ↗

Representative and participant in the Democratic Senate primary referenced in the article

ALSO MENTIONED  Hillary Clinton, Former presidential candidate whose campaign employed Luke Warford; Luke Warford, Texas Public Opinion Research director and former Democratic candidate and party strategist

Part of a bigger story

9 OUTLETS
Poll Shows James Talarico Leading Cornyn and Paxton in Texas Senate Race

A Texas poll found James Talarico ahead of John Cornyn and Ken Paxton in hypothetical U.S. Senate matchups. Reports also note the leads were within the poll’s margin of error. Left-leaning outlets describe the leads as narrow and within the margin of error. Center outlets report the results descriptively, with some adding margin-of-error caveats or runoff context. Right-leaning outlets question the poll’s reliability, while Fox News instead focuses on calls for Talarico to condemn his pastor’s sermon.

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