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● InformationalElections / Campaigns

Talarico leads Paxton, Cornyn in new US Senate race poll

The poll places Paxton five points behind Talarico in a hypothetical matchup, with Paxton set to face Cornyn in a runoff.

Talarico leads Paxton, Cornyn in new US Senate race poll
Image · FOX 7 Austin

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This article1 analysis · Oct 7, 2026
Apr 28, 2026
tl;dr

A Texas Public Opinion Research poll shows James Talarico leading John Cornyn and Ken Paxton in hypothetical U.S. Senate matchups, while Cornyn and Paxton are set to meet in a May 26 runoff to choose the Republican nominee.

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Ken Paxton R · TX
NOT RATEDCLOSED

No good or bad look here

This story reports what happened without casting Paxton in a good or bad light, so readers don’t rate it and it doesn’t count toward Paxton’s record.

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People in this story

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Ken Paxton
R · TX

Texas attorney general and Republican candidate in the U.S. Senate race

PRIMARY SUBJECT

Democratic candidate in the Texas U.S. Senate race

Talarico's version of this story ↗
John Cornyn
R · TX · SEN

Republican senator and candidate in the Texas U.S. Senate race

Cornyn's version of this story ↗
Chip Roy
R · TX-21

U.S. representative and Republican candidate for attorney general

ALSO MENTIONED  Gina Hinojosa, Democratic candidate for Texas governor; Greg Abbott, Texas governor and candidate in the governor’s race; Joe Jaworski, Former Galveston mayor and Democratic candidate for attorney general; Mayes Middleton, Texas state senator and Republican candidate for attorney general; Nathan Johnson, Texas state senator and Democratic candidate for attorney general

Part of a bigger story

8 OUTLETS
Poll Shows Talarico Leading Cornyn and Paxton in Texas Senate Matchups

A Texas poll found James Talarico ahead of Ken Paxton and John Cornyn in hypothetical U.S. Senate matchups. Left-leaning outlets stress that the leads are within the margin of error and note the Republican runoff. Center outlets report the leads, often with margin-of-error or runoff context. Right-leaning outlets question the poll’s reliability, citing the polling director’s Democratic ties.

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