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● InformationalElections / Campaigns

Texas' Republican Senate primary runoff statistically tied shortly before start of early voting, poll finds

A University of Houston poll found Cornyn narrowly trailing Paxton in the Republican Senate runoff.

Texas' Republican Senate primary runoff statistically tied shortly before start of early voting, poll finds
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This article1 analysis · Oct 7, 2026

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68 stories · 79–80 · updated Oct 7, 2026

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Texas Public Radiocites Houston Public Media
May 5, 2026
tl;dr

A University of Houston poll found Ken Paxton and John Cornyn statistically tied in Texas’ Republican Senate primary runoff, with Paxton at 48% and Cornyn at 45%. The survey also measured several other Texas Republican runoff contests.

Community verdict

VOTING CLOSED
How does this story look for
John Cornyn R · TX · SEN
NOT RATEDCLOSED

No good or bad look here

This story reports what happened without casting Cornyn in a good or bad light, so readers don’t rate it and it doesn’t count toward Cornyn’s record.

● INFORMATIONAL

People in this story

SWIPE →
John Cornyn
R · TX · SEN

U.S. senator and Republican Senate candidate in the Texas primary runoff

PRIMARY SUBJECT
Ken Paxton
R · TX

Republican Senate candidate in the Texas primary runoff

Paxton's version of this story ↗

Democratic Senate nominee mentioned in a projection about the general election

Libertarian Senate candidate mentioned as a possible protest-vote option

Chip Roy
R · TX-21

U.S. representative and Republican candidate for Texas attorney general

Wesley Hunt
R · TX-38

U.S. representative whose voters’ runoff preferences are discussed

ALSO MENTIONED  Aaron Reitz, Candidate in the first round of the Republican primary; Bo French, Republican activist and candidate in the Railroad Commission runoff; Jim Wright, Incumbent Texas Railroad Commissioner and Republican candidate in the runoff; Joan Huffman, Texas state senator and candidate in the first round of the Republican primary; Mayes Middleton, State senator and Republican candidate for Texas attorney general

Part of a bigger story

6 OUTLETS
University of Houston Poll Finds Paxton Narrowly Ahead of Cornyn

The University of Houston poll put Ken Paxton at 48% and John Cornyn at 45% among likely voters in the Texas Republican Senate runoff; the three-point gap was within the poll’s margin of error. Left-leaning outlets treat the result as a close contest, with the San Antonio Current stressing undecided voters and turnout. Center outlets focus on the poll’s narrow result and other Republican runoffs. Right-leaning outlets pair the poll with a Paxton campaign ad criticizing Cornyn’s past immigration remarks.

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