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● InformationalElections / Campaigns

Texas Senate GOP runoff: Paxton narrowly leads Cornyn in latest poll

The poll measured Cornyn’s support against Paxton and compared how voters viewed each as a potential opponent to James Talarico.

Texas Senate GOP runoff: Paxton narrowly leads Cornyn in latest poll
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This article1 analysis · Oct 7, 2026

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Republished from Fox26houston. The relationship between the two publishers has not been determined.

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May 5, 2026
tl;dr

A University of Houston poll found Ken Paxton narrowly leading John Cornyn among likely Republican voters ahead of the May 26 Texas Senate runoff. The poll also measured voter preferences in other Republican runoff races.

Community verdict

VOTING CLOSED
How does this story look for
John Cornyn R · TX · SEN
NOT RATEDCLOSED

No good or bad look here

This story reports what happened without casting Cornyn in a good or bad light, so readers don’t rate it and it doesn’t count toward Cornyn’s record.

● INFORMATIONAL

People in this story

SWIPE →
John Cornyn
R · TX · SEN

Incumbent senator and Republican Senate candidate in the Texas runoff

PRIMARY SUBJECT
Ken Paxton
R · TX

Republican Senate candidate in the Texas runoff

Paxton's version of this story ↗

Democratic Senate nominee and hypothetical general-election opponent

Chip Roy
R · TX-21

U.S. representative and Republican candidate for state attorney general

Wesley Hunt
R · TX-38

U.S. representative whose March supporters were included in the runoff polling

ALSO MENTIONED  Bo French, Republican railroad commissioner runoff candidate; Jim Wright, Incumbent railroad commissioner and Republican runoff candidate; Mayes Middleton, State senator and Republican candidate for state attorney general

Part of a bigger story

6 OUTLETS
University of Houston Poll Finds Paxton Narrowly Ahead of Cornyn

The University of Houston poll put Ken Paxton at 48% and John Cornyn at 45% among likely voters in the Texas Republican Senate runoff; the three-point gap was within the poll’s margin of error. Left-leaning outlets treat the result as a close contest, with the San Antonio Current stressing undecided voters and turnout. Center outlets focus on the poll’s narrow result and other Republican runoffs. Right-leaning outlets pair the poll with a Paxton campaign ad criticizing Cornyn’s past immigration remarks.

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