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● InformationalElections / Campaigns

Texas Senate Poll: Ken Paxton Leads John Cornyn Ahead of GOP Runoff

The poll has Cornyn three points behind Paxton, with the general-election matchup rated evenly.

Texas Senate Poll: Ken Paxton Leads John Cornyn Ahead of GOP Runoff
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This article1 analysis · Oct 7, 2026
Breitbart
May 5, 2026
tl;dr

A University of Houston poll puts Ken Paxton three points ahead of John Cornyn among likely Texas Republican runoff voters, a gap within the poll’s margin of error. The article also reports on Paxton’s recent campaign ad criticizing Cornyn’s past immigration remarks.

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VOTING CLOSED
How does this story look for
John Cornyn R · TX · SEN
NOT RATEDCLOSED

No good or bad look here

This story reports what happened without casting Cornyn in a good or bad light, so readers don’t rate it and it doesn’t count toward Cornyn’s record.

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People in this story

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John Cornyn
R · TX · SEN

U.S. senator from Texas and Republican Senate candidate in the runoff

PRIMARY SUBJECT
Ken Paxton
R · TX

Texas attorney general and Republican Senate candidate in the runoff

Paxton's version of this story ↗

Democratic candidate for the Texas Senate seat

Wesley Hunt
R · TX-38

U.S. representative from Texas and former Republican Senate candidate

Part of a bigger story

6 OUTLETS
University of Houston Poll Finds Paxton Narrowly Ahead of Cornyn

The University of Houston poll put Ken Paxton at 48% and John Cornyn at 45% among likely voters in the Texas Republican Senate runoff; the three-point gap was within the poll’s margin of error. Left-leaning outlets treat the result as a close contest, with the San Antonio Current stressing undecided voters and turnout. Center outlets focus on the poll’s narrow result and other Republican runoffs. Right-leaning outlets pair the poll with a Paxton campaign ad criticizing Cornyn’s past immigration remarks.

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