Ken Paxton narrowly leads John Cornyn in new poll of Texas' Senate GOP runoff
Cornyn trails Paxton by three points in the poll and is described as having support among college-educated Republican voters.

SOURCE CHECK
TAP FOR WHYCredibility rates KSAT, which republished this story. The other scores rate the article itself.
The page carries reporting attributed to the Texas Tribune, an established nonprofit newsroom, and KSAT is an established local news outlet. The article identifies the poll’s source and methodology and includes a disclosure about the Tribune’s financial supporters.
- Source type — Established local outlet publishing reporting attributed to the Texas Tribune.
- Author attribution — The reporting is attributed to named Texas Tribune journalists.
- Transparency — The article identifies the polling organization, sample size, field dates and margin of error, and includes a funding disclosure.
- Editorial standards — The established newsroom attribution supports a presumption of editorial standards, though no correction information appears in the article.
The article provides poll figures, sample size, field dates and margin of error, and contextualizes the results with earlier polling and voter groups. It is primarily a poll report, with limited direct perspectives from the candidates and no underlying questionnaire or full methodology presented.
HOW WE SCORE ↗The report presents findings relevant to both candidates and provides polling context, though it relies heavily on survey results and offers little direct response from either campaign.
- Source diversity — Includes poll results and campaign arguments but no direct candidate interviews or replies.
- Counterarguments presented — Reports comparative findings for both candidates and notes uncertainty among voters.
- Omitted context — Gives the poll’s sample size, field dates and margin of error, but not the full methodology or questionnaire.
- Loaded language — Mostly neutral reporting language, with some pointed descriptions in the separate Railroad Commission race section.
The article reports polling results and campaign context in neutral language, without discernible partisan framing or a consistent advantage in its treatment of the candidates.
- Language tone — Uses predominantly descriptive language to report poll findings and campaign context.
- Source selection — Relies mainly on poll findings and campaign claims without endorsing either candidate.
- Framing — Presents the contest as close and discusses factors that could affect the result.
Republished with credit
Republished from Texas Tribune, with credit to the original publisher.
57 stories · 78–81 · updated Oct 7, 2026
This is Texas Tribune's own score, and this article is credited to Texas Tribune. The host score in the Source Check is KSAT's.
A University of Houston poll found Ken Paxton leading John Cornyn 48% to 45% among likely voters in the May 26 Texas Senate Republican runoff. The article also reports polling in the Republican attorney general and Railroad Commission runoffs.
The University of Houston’s Hobby School of Public Affairs surveyed 1,200 likely Republican runoff voters from April 28 through Friday and reported a margin of error of plus or minus 2.83 percentage points. Paxton led Cornyn 48% to 45%; the poll also found Paxton drawing more support from Wesley Hunt’s primary voters, while many runoff voters remained undecided. The article notes that most earlier runoff polls came from groups with partisan ties.
The article says Cornyn was preferred among Republican voters with four-year college degrees, while Paxton led among voters without degrees and voters of color. It also describes polling in other Republican runoffs: Mayes Middleton led Chip Roy in the attorney general contest, and Jim Wright led Bo French for Railroad Commission.
Community verdict
VOTING CLOSEDNo good or bad look here
This story reports what happened without casting Cornyn in a good or bad light, so readers don’t rate it and it doesn’t count toward Cornyn’s record.
People in this story
SWIPE →Senator and Republican candidate in the Texas U.S. Senate runoff
Republican candidate in the Texas U.S. Senate runoff
Paxton's version of this story ↗Democratic Senate nominee discussed as the possible opponent of either Republican nominee
President; his potential endorsement is discussed in the Senate runoff
U.S. representative and Republican candidate for attorney general
U.S. representative and former candidate in the Republican Senate primary
Part of a bigger story
6 OUTLETSThe University of Houston poll put Ken Paxton at 48% and John Cornyn at 45% among likely voters in the Texas Republican Senate runoff; the three-point gap was within the poll’s margin of error. Left-leaning outlets treat the result as a close contest, with the San Antonio Current stressing undecided voters and turnout. Center outlets focus on the poll’s narrow result and other Republican runoffs. Right-leaning outlets pair the poll with a Paxton campaign ad criticizing Cornyn’s past immigration remarks.
- ARTICLES
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- OUTLETS
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- AVG CRED
- 70
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