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● InformationalElections / Campaigns

Ken Paxton narrowly leads John Cornyn in new poll of Texas' Senate GOP runoff

A University of Houston poll gives Paxton a narrow lead over John Cornyn in the Republican Senate runoff.

Ken Paxton narrowly leads John Cornyn in new poll of Texas' Senate GOP runoff
Image · San Antonio Current

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Outlet credibilitySan Antonio Current71/100 HIGH
This article1 analysis · Oct 7, 2026

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Cites Texas Tribune

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Texas Tribune80/100 HIGH

57 stories · 78–81 · updated Oct 7, 2026

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San Antonio Currentcites Texas Tribune
May 5, 2026
tl;dr

A University of Houston poll puts Ken Paxton ahead of John Cornyn, 48% to 45%, among likely voters in Texas’ Republican Senate runoff. The poll suggests a close May 26 contest, with undecided voters and turnout among each candidate’s supporters potentially decisive.

Community verdict

VOTING CLOSED
How does this story look for
Ken Paxton R · TX
NOT RATEDCLOSED

No good or bad look here

This story reports what happened without casting Paxton in a good or bad light, so readers don’t rate it and it doesn’t count toward Paxton’s record.

● INFORMATIONAL

People in this story

SWIPE →
Ken Paxton
R · TX

Republican candidate in the Texas Senate runoff

PRIMARY SUBJECT
John Cornyn
R · TX · SEN

Republican candidate in the Texas Senate runoff

Cornyn's version of this story ↗

Democratic nominee for the Texas Senate seat

Donald Trump
R · President of the United States

President, whose potential endorsement is discussed

Chip Roy
R · TX-21

U.S. representative and Republican candidate for attorney general

Wesley Hunt
R · TX-38

U.S. representative and former candidate in the Republican Senate primary

ALSO MENTIONED  Aaron Reitz, Former Justice Department lawyer and Paxton deputy; former attorney general primary candidate; Bo French, Republican candidate for the Texas Railroad Commission; Greg Abbott, Governor of Texas and endorser of Jim Wright; Jim Wright, Incumbent member of the Texas Railroad Commission and Republican runoff candidate; Joan Huffman, State senator and former candidate in the Republican attorney general primary; Mayes Middleton, State senator and Republican candidate for attorney general

Part of a bigger story

7 OUTLETS
University of Houston Poll Finds Paxton Leading Cornyn in Texas Runoff

A University of Houston poll put Ken Paxton at 48% and John Cornyn at 45% among likely Republican runoff voters, a gap within the poll’s margin of error. Left-leaning outlets report the narrow poll lead and also highlight reports of donor reluctance and fundraising difficulties. Center outlets present the result as a close or statistically tied contest. Right-leaning outlets report the narrow lead and add Paxton’s campaign ad criticizing Cornyn’s past immigration remarks.

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