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● InformationalElections / Campaigns

The Senate: A Couple of Rating Changes in Favor of Democrats, but Republicans Still Favored Overall

The analysis moves Ossoff’s Georgia race from Toss-up to Leans Democratic.

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Outlet credibilityrasmussenreports.comNOT RATED
This article1 analysis · Oct 11, 2026
tl;dr

The analysis says Republicans remain favored to hold their Senate majority in 2026, despite two rating changes favoring Democrats. The biggest upgrade moves Jon Ossoff’s Georgia race from Toss-up to Leans Democratic.

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Jon Ossoff D · GA · SEN
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This story reports what happened without casting Ossoff in a good or bad light, so readers don’t rate it and it doesn’t count toward Ossoff’s record.

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People in this story

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Jon Ossoff
D · GA · SEN

Georgia senator whose reelection race receives an improved rating

PRIMARY SUBJECT
Amy Klobuchar
D · MN · SEN

Minnesota senator entering the gubernatorial race

Texas state representative and Democratic Senate candidate

Rick Scott
R · FL · SEN

Florida senator cited in a comparison with the 2018 election

Iowa state representative and Democratic Senate candidate

Michigan representative and Democratic Senate candidate

Elissa Slotkin
D · MI · SEN

Michigan senator and winner of the 2024 race against Mike Rogers

Michigan state senator and Democratic Senate candidate

Susan M. Collins
R · ME · SEN

Republican senator from Maine and potential reelection candidate

Zach Wahls
D · IA

Iowa state senator and Democratic Senate candidate

Raphael G. Warnock
D · GA · SEN

Georgia senator cited as context for Ossoff’s race

Donald Trump
R · President of the United States

President discussed in relation to voter approval and the Senate map

Republican primary candidate in North Carolina

Former president referenced in a comparison of voter shifts

Virginia representative and Alexander Vindman’s twin brother

Republican Senate candidate in North Carolina

Mike Collins
R · GA-10

Georgia representative and contender for the Republican Senate nomination

Former Michigan representative and Republican Senate candidate

Ashley Hinson
R · IA-2

Iowa representative and likely Republican Senate nominee

Jon Husted
R · OH · SEN

Ohio senator and incumbent in the 2026 race

Timothy J. Walz
Former U.S. Representative (D-MN)

Minnesota governor

Democratic Senate candidate in Iowa

Former Republican Senate candidate in Georgia

Angie Craig
D · MN-2

Minnesota representative and Democratic Senate candidate

Kamala Harris
Former U.S. Senator (D-CA)

Former presidential candidate referenced in a state-election comparison

Michigan Democratic Senate candidate

Republican Senate candidate in Minnesota

Minnesota lieutenant governor and Democratic Senate candidate

Ken Paxton
R · TX

Texas attorney general and Republican Senate candidate

Democratic Senate candidate in Maine

Ashley Moody
R · FL · SEN

Florida senator and appointed incumbent

Roy Cooper
D · NC

Former North Carolina governor and Democratic Senate candidate

Republican Senate candidate in Georgia

Buddy Carter
R · GA-1

Georgia representative and contender for the Republican Senate nomination

Ted Cruz
R · TX · SEN

Texas senator cited in a comparison with the 2018 election

Sherrod Brown
Former U.S. Senator (D-OH)

Former Ohio senator and current Senate candidate

Maine governor and Democratic Senate candidate

Bill Nelson
Former U.S. Senator (D-FL)

Former Florida senator

Beto O'Rourke
Former U.S. Representative (D-TX)

Former Texas representative and former Senate candidate

Joni Ernst
R · IA · SEN

Iowa senator who is retiring

Democratic Senate candidate in Florida

ALSO MENTIONED  Brian Kemp, Georgia governor; Catherine Truitt, Former North Carolina state superintendent of public instruction; Olympia Snowe, Former Maine senator

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