New Texas poll finds Talarico leading Crockett by 9 points in Senate Democratic primary
The poll found Talarico leading Crockett among likely Democratic primary voters.

SOURCE CHECK
TAP FOR WHYCredibility rates Houston Public Media, where this article appeared. The other scores rate the article itself.
Houston Public Media is an established regional public-media newsroom, and the article identifies its author. The article credits The Texas Tribune as its original publisher, so the reporting quality and provenance of that work are distinct from Houston Public Media's institutional credibility.
- Source type — Established local public-media outlet with a regional news operation.
- Author attribution — The page identifies a named author.
- Editorial standards — The outlet presents itself as a public-media newsroom, though this article does not itself document its corrections practices.
- Transparency — The article explicitly credits The Texas Tribune as the place it first appeared.
The article provides specific poll figures, identifies the polling organization and offers comparisons with earlier polling. It gives limited detail about survey methods and does not include responses from the candidates or independent analysis of the polling.
HOW WE SCORE ↗The article covers both parties' primaries and gives polling comparisons and matchup figures, but it relies on survey results without candidate responses or much outside analysis.
- Source diversity — Reports results from Emerson and compares them with an earlier Texas Southern University poll.
- Counterarguments presented — Includes results for competing candidates but no direct responses from their campaigns.
- Omitted context — Provides limited information about polling methodology and uncertainty beyond the margin of error reported for the Republican primary sample.
- Loaded language — The prose is largely descriptive rather than evaluative.
The article reports poll results and comparisons in neutral language without apparent partisan framing.
- Language tone — Uses straightforward descriptions of the poll results.
- Framing — Frames the story around polling changes and primary matchups rather than endorsing a candidate.
- Source selection — Relies mainly on polling results and earlier surveys, with no campaign-side quotes.
Cites Texas Tribune
This article cites Texas Tribune as its original publisher. ChamberLight has not verified that it is a republication, so the scores are Houston Public Media's own.
84 stories · 79–81 · updated Oct 12, 2026
This is Texas Tribune's own score. The Source Check scores are for Houston Public Media and this article.
An Emerson College poll found James Talarico leading Jasmine Crockett by 9 points in the Texas Democratic Senate primary, while Ken Paxton and John Cornyn were nearly tied in the Republican race. The poll also found close general-election matchups and a decline in President Donald Trump's Texas approval rating.
The Emerson College survey put Talarico ahead of Crockett, 47% to 38%, among likely Democratic primary voters, with 15% undecided. That differed from a Texas Southern University poll about a month earlier, which had Crockett ahead by 8 points. Emerson found Talarico leading among Latino and white voters, while Crockett had 80% support among Black voters.
In the Republican Senate primary, Emerson found Paxton at 27%, Cornyn at 26% and Wesley Hunt at 16%; the article says the race could go to a runoff if no candidate reaches 50%. In hypothetical matchups, Cornyn and Hunt led Crockett, while Paxton was tied with either Democrat. The poll also found Trump's Texas approval rating at 48%, with 46% disapproving, compared with a 7-point net approval rating in August.
Community verdict
VOTING CLOSEDNo good or bad look here
This story reports what happened without casting Talarico in a good or bad light, so readers don’t rate it and it doesn’t count toward Talarico’s record.
People in this story
SWIPE →Democratic candidate in the Texas U.S. Senate primary and U.S. representative
Crockett's version of this story ↗President of the United States
U.S. representative and Republican Senate candidate from Texas
Texas attorney general and Republican U.S. Senate candidate
U.S. senator and Republican Senate candidate from Texas
Part of a bigger story
5 OUTLETSThe poll showed James Talarico leading Jasmine Crockett by nine points among likely Democratic primary voters in the Texas Senate primary. Left-leaning outlets pair Talarico's lead with Crockett's strong support among Black voters, while noting undecided voters and the poll's relatively small sample. Center outlets present the primary result in restrained terms, with some also covering other primary and general-election matchups and one foregrounding Crockett's deficit. Right-leaning outlets emphasize Crockett's deficit and political vulnerabilities alongside Talarico's lead.
- ARTICLES
- 6
- OUTLETS
- 5
- AVG CRED
- 70
- Black Enterprise · Poll Shows Rep. Jasmine Crockett Behind In Texas Primary Race
- TheGrio · New poll shows Jasmine Crockett behind in Texas Senate election, but Black voters overwhelmingly back her
- The Daily Caller · Jasmine Crockett Trailing Democrat Primary Opponent Less Than 50 Days From Election Day: POLL
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