Fox News Poll: It’s a Lone Star Senate showdown between Talarico and Paxton
The poll found Paxton trailing Talarico narrowly among likely voters and reported his personal rating as underwater.

SOURCE CHECK
TAP FOR WHYFox News is an established national news organization with editorial infrastructure, and this report identifies its pollsters and provides substantial information about the survey methodology. The author is not identified, and the article relies heavily on polling rather than independent reporting.
- Source type — Established national news outlet with newsroom and editorial standards.
- Transparency — The article names the poll's joint direction, sample sizes, field dates, interview methods and margins of sampling error.
- Author attribution — No individual author is identified.
- Track record — Fox News conducts and publishes its own polling, though this article's conclusions are primarily based on one survey.
The article presents detailed survey results and explains the sample, field dates, methodology and margins of error. It offers data about both candidates and includes a pollster's interpretation, though the findings come from a single poll and candidate campaigns are not represented.
HOW WE SCORE ↗The poll results include strengths and vulnerabilities for both Senate candidates and provide detailed methodology. The article does not include responses from the candidates or their campaigns, so the balance comes mainly from the survey data rather than competing firsthand perspectives.
- Source diversity — The survey was jointly directed by Democratic and Republican research firms, and a Republican pollster is quoted.
- Counterarguments presented — The article reports favorable and unfavorable findings for both Senate candidates.
- Omitted context — No responses from either candidate or their campaigns are included.
- Loaded language — The wording is mostly neutral, though some characterizations interpret the poll results.
The article presents polling results and candidate-related findings in largely neutral terms. It reports both favorable and unfavorable indicators for the candidates without a discernible partisan framing.
- Language tone — Mostly descriptive language, with no sustained evaluative or partisan wording.
- Framing — The report presents a close Senate matchup and polling indicators relevant to both candidates.
- Source selection — The article includes a pollster's interpretation and identifies the poll's Democratic and Republican research partners.
A Fox News poll gives James Talarico a 51%-49% lead over Ken Paxton among Texas likely voters, within the margin of error; registered voters favor Talarico by seven points. The results offer an early snapshot of a closely contested Senate race.
The poll found Talarico leading Paxton by two points among likely voters, while his lead among registered voters was seven points. Talarico had a net positive personal rating, while Paxton’s was underwater. Voters were nearly split on which party they preferred to control the Senate, and respondents raised ideological concerns about both candidates.
Community verdict
VOTING CLOSEDNo good or bad look here
This story reports what happened without casting Paxton in a good or bad light, so readers don’t rate it and it doesn’t count toward Paxton’s record.
People in this story
SWIPE →President of the United States, discussed as a factor in the Senate race and in voter ratings
Republican incumbent senator from Texas, mentioned in connection with voters who supported him in the primary
Part of a bigger story
5 OUTLETSThe outlets report that a Fox News poll puts James Talarico ahead of Ken Paxton 51%-49% among likely Texas voters, within the margin of error, in the Texas Senate race. Left-leaning outlets frame the poll as a sign that Trump’s unpopularity may be weakening Paxton and aiding Talarico. Center outlets stress the close result and Paxton’s unfavorable ratings, with one also emphasizing leaked audio. Right-leaning outlets present a close matchup and polling indicators for both candidates.
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- OUTLETS
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- AVG CRED
- 67
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