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● InformationalElections / Campaigns

Fox News Poll: It’s a Lone Star Senate showdown between Talarico and Paxton

The poll found Paxton trailing Talarico narrowly among likely voters and reported his personal rating as underwater.

Fox News Poll: It’s a Lone Star Senate showdown between Talarico and Paxton
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Outlet credibilityFox News69/100 MEDIUM
This article1 analysis · Oct 2, 2026
Fox News
Oct 1, 2026
tl;dr

A Fox News poll gives James Talarico a 51%-49% lead over Ken Paxton among Texas likely voters, within the margin of error; registered voters favor Talarico by seven points. The results offer an early snapshot of a closely contested Senate race.

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Ken Paxton R · TX
NOT RATEDCLOSED

No good or bad look here

This story reports what happened without casting Paxton in a good or bad light, so readers don’t rate it and it doesn’t count toward Paxton’s record.

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Ken Paxton
R · TX

Republican candidate for U.S. Senate in Texas

PRIMARY SUBJECT

Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate in Texas

Talarico's version of this story ↗
Donald Trump
R · President of the United States

President of the United States, discussed as a factor in the Senate race and in voter ratings

John Cornyn
R · TX · SEN

Republican incumbent senator from Texas, mentioned in connection with voters who supported him in the primary

ALSO MENTIONED  Gina Hinojosa, Democratic challenger to Greg Abbott in the Texas governor’s race; Greg Abbott, Republican governor of Texas and candidate for re-election

Part of a bigger story

5 OUTLETS
Fox News Poll Finds Talarico Ahead of Paxton in Texas Senate Race

The outlets report that a Fox News poll puts James Talarico ahead of Ken Paxton 51%-49% among likely Texas voters, within the margin of error, in the Texas Senate race. Left-leaning outlets frame the poll as a sign that Trump’s unpopularity may be weakening Paxton and aiding Talarico. Center outlets stress the close result and Paxton’s unfavorable ratings, with one also emphasizing leaked audio. Right-leaning outlets present a close matchup and polling indicators for both candidates.

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