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Talarico holds razor-thin lead over Paxton in Fox News poll

The poll places Paxton two points behind Talarico among likely Texas voters.

Talarico holds razor-thin lead over Paxton in Fox News poll
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SOURCE CHECK

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Host credibilityFox4news75/100 HIGH
This article1 analysis · Oct 14, 2026

Credibility rates Fox4news, which republished this story. The other scores rate the article itself.

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Republished from FOX 7 Austin. The relationship between the two publishers has not been determined.

FOX 7 Austin73/100 HIGH

62 stories · 73–74 · updated Oct 15, 2026

This is FOX 7 Austin's own score, and this article is credited to FOX 7 Austin. The host score in the Source Check is Fox4news's.

Fox4newsvia FOX 7 Austin
Oct 2, 2026
tl;dr

A Fox News poll puts Democrat James Talarico ahead of Republican Ken Paxton by 51% to 49% among likely Texas voters, within the margin of error. The poll also finds differences in favorability and voter priorities.

Community verdict

VOTING CLOSED
How does this story look for
Ken Paxton R · TX
NOT RATEDCLOSED

No good or bad look here

This story reports what happened without casting Paxton in a good or bad light, so readers don’t rate it and it doesn’t count toward Paxton’s record.

● INFORMATIONAL

People in this story

SWIPE →
Ken Paxton
R · TX

Republican Senate candidate in Texas

PRIMARY SUBJECT

Democratic Senate candidate in Texas

Talarico's version of this story ↗
Donald Trump
R · President of the United States

President whose closeness to Paxton and importance to voters were addressed in the poll

John Cornyn
R · TX · SEN

Texas senator referenced in the poll’s account of voters’ past primary choices

Part of a bigger story

5 OUTLETS
Fox News Poll Finds Talarico Ahead of Paxton in Texas Senate Race

The outlets report that a Fox News poll puts James Talarico ahead of Ken Paxton 51%-49% among likely Texas voters, within the margin of error, in the Texas Senate race. Left-leaning outlets frame the poll as a sign that Trump’s unpopularity may be weakening Paxton and aiding Talarico. Center outlets stress the close result and Paxton’s unfavorable ratings, with one also emphasizing leaked audio. Right-leaning outlets present a close matchup and polling indicators for both candidates.

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