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● InformationalElections / Campaigns

Ken Paxton and James Talarico are neck and neck in U.S. Senate race, new poll finds

The poll found Talarico virtually tied with Paxton and showed his support holding steady from April.

Ken Paxton and James Talarico are neck and neck in U.S. Senate race, new poll finds
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Host credibilityTexas Public Radio79/100 HIGH
This article1 analysis · Oct 5, 2026

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Republished from Texas Tribune, with credit to the original publisher.

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57 stories · 78–81 · updated Oct 7, 2026

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Texas Public Radiovia Texas Tribune
Jun 23, 2026
tl;dr

A University of Texas at Austin poll found Ken Paxton leading James Talarico 43% to 42% among Texas voters, within the margin of error. Paxton’s support improved from April, while Talarico’s remained unchanged.

Community verdict

VOTING CLOSED
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No good or bad look here

This story reports what happened without casting Talarico in a good or bad light, so readers don’t rate it and it doesn’t count toward Talarico’s record.

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Democratic U.S. Senate candidate whose standing is measured in the poll

PRIMARY SUBJECT
Ken Paxton
R · TX

Republican U.S. Senate candidate whose standing is measured in the poll

Paxton's version of this story ↗

U.S. representative mentioned in connection with Black voters’ support in the primary

Donald Trump
R · President of the United States

President, mentioned in connection with Republican turnout

Democratic state senator and comptroller candidate

John Cornyn
R · TX · SEN

U.S. senator and former Republican primary opponent of Paxton

ALSO MENTIONED  Dan Patrick, Texas lieutenant governor and Republican candidate; Don Huffines, Former Republican state senator and comptroller candidate; Gina Hinojosa, Democratic state representative and gubernatorial candidate; Greg Abbott, Texas governor and Republican gubernatorial candidate; Mayes Middleton, Republican state senator and attorney general candidate; Nathan Johnson, Democratic state senator and attorney general candidate; Vikki Goodwin, Democratic state representative and lieutenant governor candidate

Part of a bigger story

4 OUTLETS
University of Texas Poll Shows Paxton Leading Talarico

A poll puts Ken Paxton slightly ahead of James Talarico in the Texas U.S. Senate race, with both presented as close contests. Talarico is Paxton’s opponent in the race. Center outlets stress the narrow margin and, in some coverage, shifts in support since April. Right-leaning outlets present the poll as favorable to Republicans and include criticism of Talarico’s positions and personal conduct.

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