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CA-48 could determine control of Congress. Will Dems blow it?

Desmond is the leading Republican candidate in a race that could determine whether a Democrat advances to the general election.

CA-48 could determine control of Congress. Will Dems blow it?
Image · Times of San Diego

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Outlet credibilityTimes of San Diego72/100 HIGH
This article1 analysis · Oct 6, 2026
tl;dr

California’s 48th District is a competitive House race that could affect control of Congress, but a divided Democratic field may allow two Republicans to advance from the state’s top-two primary. The article examines the leading candidates, the district’s new boundaries and the uncertainty around the race.

Community verdict

VOTING CLOSED
How does this story look for
Jim Desmond R · CA
NOT RATEDCLOSED

No good or bad look here

This story reports what happened without casting Desmond in a good or bad light, so readers don’t rate it and it doesn’t count toward Desmond’s record.

● INFORMATIONAL

People in this story

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Republican candidate in California’s 48th Congressional District

PRIMARY SUBJECT

Democratic candidate in California’s 48th Congressional District

Von Wilpert's version of this story ↗

Democratic candidate in California’s 48th Congressional District

Campa-Najjar's version of this story ↗

Democratic candidate in California’s 48th Congressional District

Riker's version of this story ↗
Young Kim
R · CA-40

Republican representative discussed in the account of redistricting

Mike Levin
D · CA-49

Democratic representative whose district borders the new 48th District

Donald Trump
R · President of the United States

President whose endorsement Desmond received and whose remarks were cited by candidates

Duncan Hunter
Former U.S. Representative (R-CA)

Former representative whom Campa-Najjar challenged in a previous congressional race

Kamala Harris
Former U.S. Senator (D-CA)

Former vice president whose 2024 performance is used to estimate the new district’s partisan lean

Darrell Issa
R · CA-48

Republican representative who chose not to seek reelection and endorsed Desmond

Mark Takano
D · CA-39

Democratic representative who endorsed Von Wilpert

Ken Calvert
R · CA-41

Republican representative discussed in the account of redistricting

Sara Jacobs
D · CA-51

Democratic representative and Campa-Najjar’s partner

ALSO MENTIONED  Gavin Newsom, California governor who advanced the state redistricting effort; Kevin O’Neil, Republican candidate in California’s 48th Congressional District; Will Rodriguez-Kennedy, Head of the San Diego County Democratic Party

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