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Shocking new poll shows deep-red congressional district could be next stop for Democrats' 'blue tsunami'

The poll puts Van Epps two points ahead of Democrat Aftyn Behn in the special election.

Shocking new poll shows deep-red congressional district could be next stop for Democrats' 'blue tsunami'
Image · The Independent

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Outlet credibilityThe Independent77/100 HIGH
This article1 analysis · Oct 12, 2026
tl;dr

A poll puts Republican Matt Van Epps just two points ahead of Democrat Aftyn Behn in Tennessee’s 7th District special election. The close race has drawn spending from both parties and could affect Republicans’ narrow House majority.

Community verdict

VOTING CLOSED
How does this story look for
Matt Van Epps R · TN-7
NOT RATEDCLOSED

No good or bad look here

This story reports what happened without casting Van Epps in a good or bad light, so readers don’t rate it and it doesn’t count toward Van Epps’s record.

● INFORMATIONAL

People in this story

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Matt Van Epps
R · TN-7

Republican candidate in Tennessee’s 7th District special election

PRIMARY SUBJECT
Aftyn Behn
D · TN

Democratic candidate in Tennessee’s 7th District special election

Behn's version of this story ↗
Abigail Davis Spanberger
Former U.S. Representative (D-VA)

Virginia governor-elect mentioned as an example of Democratic electoral success

Donald Trump
R · President of the United States

President who endorsed Van Epps

Mikie Sherrill
Former U.S. Representative (D-NJ)

New Jersey governor-elect whose House seat is expected to be contested in a special election

Marjorie Taylor Greene
Former U.S. Representative (R-GA)

Representative whose departure from the House is discussed

Kamala Harris
Former U.S. Senator (D-CA)

Vice president who recently visited Tennessee and met with volunteers

Part of a bigger story

8 OUTLETS
Poll Shows Matt Van Epps Leading in Tennessee Special Election

Outlets agree that a poll found Democrat Aftyn Behn and Republican Matt Van Epps in a close race for Tennessee’s 7th District special election. Left-leaning outlets treat the closeness as a sign of Republican vulnerability and connect the race to Trump’s influence. Center outlets frame it as a test of Democratic momentum, with polling and turnout context. Right-leaning outlets stress a possible upset and implications for Republicans, while some also foreground criticism of Behn.

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