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● InformationalElections / Campaigns

Texas Senate Republicans primary: Who's the favorite?

Newell presents Paxton as the polling leader and assesses his chances in a likely runoff.

Texas Senate Republicans primary: Who's the favorite?
Image · Slate

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Outlet credibilitySlate73/100 HIGH
This article1 analysis · Oct 10, 2026
Slate
Mar 2, 2026
tl;dr

Slate columnist Jim Newell says Texas’s Republican Senate primary could remain unresolved after Tuesday’s vote, with Ken Paxton narrowly ahead of John Cornyn and a runoff likely. He argues that the eventual nominee could affect Democrats’ chances in the general election.

Community verdict

VOTING CLOSED
How does this story look for
Ken Paxton R · TX
NOT RATEDCLOSED

No good or bad look here

This story reports what happened without casting Paxton in a good or bad light, so readers don’t rate it and it doesn’t count toward Paxton’s record.

● INFORMATIONAL

People in this story

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Ken Paxton
R · TX

Texas attorney general and Republican Senate candidate

PRIMARY SUBJECT
John Cornyn
R · TX · SEN

Texas senator and Republican primary candidate

Cornyn's version of this story ↗
Wesley Hunt
R · TX-38

U.S. representative and Republican Senate candidate

Hunt's version of this story ↗

Texas Senate Democratic primary candidate

Texas representative and Senate Democratic primary candidate

Donald Trump
R · President of the United States

President of the United States

Mitch McConnell
R · KY · SEN

U.S. senator from Kentucky and former Senate Republican leader

Former president of the United States

John Thune
R · SD · SEN

U.S. senator from South Dakota and Senate majority leader

Ted Cruz
R · TX · SEN

U.S. senator from Texas

ALSO MENTIONED  George W. Bush, Former president of the United States; Hillary Clinton, Former secretary of state and 2008 presidential candidate

Part of a bigger story

12 OUTLETS
Ken Paxton Challenges John Cornyn in Texas Senate Primary

The Texas Republican Senate primary featured Ken Paxton, John Cornyn and Wesley Hunt; accounts described Paxton as narrowly ahead in polls, with a runoff possible. Left-leaning outlets emphasize how a Paxton nomination could make the general-election race more competitive for Democrats. Center outlets mostly present the contest as a close Republican primary, stressing candidate appeal, party divisions and possible consequences for November.

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