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● InformationalElections / Campaigns

Trump endorsement makes Dem Senate candidate the favorite in deep red state

Kalshi traders viewed Trump’s endorsement of Paxton as good news for Talarico, who became favored in the general-election market.

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Outlet credibilityRaw Story56/100 MEDIUM
This article1 analysis · Oct 6, 2026
Raw Story
May 19, 2026
tl;dr

Kalshi prediction-market data showed James Talarico becoming favored in Texas’s open Senate race after President Donald Trump endorsed Ken Paxton. Kalshi also reported a rise in Paxton’s odds of winning the Republican nomination.

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This story reports what happened without casting Talarico in a good or bad light, so readers don’t rate it and it doesn’t count toward Talarico’s record.

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Democratic Senate candidate described as newly favored in the general-election market

PRIMARY SUBJECT
Donald Trump
R · President of the United States

President whose endorsement of Paxton is reported as a possible influence on the Senate race

Trump's version of this story ↗
Ken Paxton
R · TX

Republican Senate candidate endorsed by Trump

Part of a bigger story

7 OUTLETS
Trump Endorses Ken Paxton in Texas Senate Primary

Outlets agree President Donald Trump endorsed Ken Paxton in the Texas Republican Senate runoff, where James Talarico is the Democratic candidate. Left-leaning outlets emphasize prediction-market gains for Talarico after the endorsement, while noting the statewide race remains difficult. Center outlets report Democrats see an opening, citing polling and fundraising but acknowledging uncertainty and party disputes. Right-leaning outlets foreground Trump’s attacks on Talarico’s electability and views, with an opinion article also praising the criticism.

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