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● InformationalElections / Campaigns

'Real shot': Data expert flags how Texas Dems could break their 30-year losing streak

Talarico won the Democratic nomination and is presented as a potentially competitive challenger in the general election.

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Outlet credibilityRaw Story57/100 MEDIUM
This article1 analysis · Oct 9, 2026
Raw Story
Mar 4, 2026
tl;dr

Political data analyst G. Elliott Morris argues that Texas Democrats have an unusually strong chance to win a statewide race, pointing to James Talarico’s nomination and polling that suggests a close Senate contest if Ken Paxton becomes the Republican nominee.

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No good or bad look here

This story reports what happened without casting Talarico in a good or bad light, so readers don’t rate it and it doesn’t count toward Talarico’s record.

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Democratic Senate nominee in Texas

PRIMARY SUBJECT

U.S. representative and unsuccessful Democratic Senate primary candidate

Donald Trump
R · President of the United States

President whose Texas approval rating is discussed as a factor in the midterm outlook

Wesley Hunt
R · TX-38

Texas representative included in hypothetical Senate matchup polling

Ken Paxton
R · TX

Republican Senate runoff candidate discussed as a possible general-election opponent

John Cornyn
R · TX · SEN

Texas senator and Republican Senate runoff candidate

Part of a bigger story

10 OUTLETS
James Talarico Wins Texas Democratic Senate Primary

James Talarico defeated Jasmine Crockett in the Texas Democratic Senate primary, winning the party’s nomination. Left-leaning outlets frame the race as a test of Democratic strategy and competitiveness, weighing swing-voter appeal against turnout and highlighting Talarico’s general-election potential. Center outlets report his win in the context of party divisions and the November Senate contest, while pre-primary coverage focused on polls and electability. Right-leaning outlets present the contest as a question of the Democratic Party’s direction, emphasizing Talarico’s appeal to moderates and disillusioned conservatives.

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