Election 2026: Minnesota Senate - Rasmussen Reports
The poll puts Tafoya three points behind Peggy Flanagan in the Minnesota Senate race.

SOURCE CHECK
TAP FOR WHYRasmussen Reports is a polling-focused organization that identifies its survey field dates, sample size, margin of error and fieldwork firm. The article offers limited detail about the poll beyond those methodological basics and does not provide outside analysis or competing poll results.
- Source type — A polling-focused outlet publishing its own survey results; its institutional standing is more specialized than that of a major general-news newsroom.
- Transparency — Reports the sample size, field dates, margin of error and fieldwork firm.
- Editorial standards — The article presents numerical results plainly but provides little independent contextual reporting.
- Author attribution — No individual author is identified.
The article reports specific poll results and basic methodological information, including the sample size, dates and margin of error. It offers demographic breakdowns but little context for interpreting the poll or comparing it with other surveys.
HOW WE SCORE ↗The article reports figures for both candidates and includes subgroup results, but it relies on a single poll and provides no external polling comparison or independent interpretation.
- Source diversity — The results come from one polling organization; no outside pollster or analyst is included.
- Counterarguments presented — Both candidates’ topline results are presented, though no candidate perspectives are included.
- Omitted context — The article gives basic methodology but does not compare this survey with other polling or discuss its limitations beyond the margin of error.
- Loaded language — The presentation is mostly neutral and contains no evident loaded characterization of the candidates.
The article presents the polling results and demographic breakdowns in straightforward language without an evident partisan framing.
- Language tone — Uses matter-of-fact language to report the candidates’ polling numbers.
- Framing — Frames the story around survey results rather than an argument for either candidate.
- Source selection — Relies on the outlet’s own poll and does not include candidate statements or outside analysis.
A Rasmussen Reports survey gives Minnesota Senate candidate Peggy Flanagan a 48%-45% lead over Michele Tafoya, with 7% undecided. The poll was conducted October 5-7 among 856 likely voters, with a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.
Rasmussen Reports says its latest survey found Democrat Peggy Flanagan leading Republican Michele Tafoya by three points in the race for Minnesota’s open Senate seat. Forty-eight percent of likely voters said they would vote for Flanagan, 45% for Tafoya, and 7% were undecided.
The survey of 856 likely voters was conducted October 5-7, with a reported margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3 percentage points. The article also breaks down results by demographic groups, including a nine-point Flanagan lead among women and a two-point Tafoya lead among men.
Community verdict
VOTING CLOSEDNo good or bad look here
This story reports what happened without casting Tafoya in a good or bad light, so readers don’t rate it and it doesn’t count toward Tafoya’s record.
People in this story
SWIPE →Minnesota lieutenant governor and Senate candidate
Flanagan's version of this story ↗President of the United States, mentioned as the choice of voters who supported him in 2024
Democrat cited as the winner of Minnesota in the 2024 presidential election
Minnesota senator whose retirement left the seat open
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