Peggy Flanagan's Chances of Losing to Michele Tafoya in Minnesota: Polls
Tafoya trails Flanagan in the featured poll and is seeking to win the open Senate seat.

SOURCE CHECK
TAP FOR WHYNewsweek is an established national news organization, and the article identifies its author and attributes polling data and campaign comments. The supplied material does not establish the outlet’s correction practices, so the assessment rests mainly on its institutional standing and the reporting shown here.
- Source type — The publisher is an established national news outlet, although the recorded source type is unknown.
- Editorial standards — The article presents reported polling and attributes campaign claims rather than presenting them as established fact.
- Author attribution — A named author is identified.
- Correction history — No information about corrections practice is supplied in the article materials.
The article gives polling figures, sample sizes, field dates and margins of error, and includes a campaign representative’s view while noting that Flanagan’s campaign was contacted. The main new poll is still one survey, and no response from Flanagan’s campaign is included.
HOW WE SCORE ↗The article presents results from several polls and includes Tafoya’s campaign manager’s criticism of Flanagan, while noting that Flanagan’s campaign was asked for comment. The response from Flanagan’s campaign is not included, and the polling organizations and methods vary.
- Counterarguments presented — Tafoya’s campaign manager makes a critical case against Flanagan, but no response from Flanagan’s campaign appears.
- Source diversity — The article cites several polling sources, a race-rating outlet and prediction markets.
- Opinion vs reporting — Campaign advocacy is attributed, while polling results are presented as reported findings.
- Omitted context — The article provides some poll methodology, though the different surveys have varying sponsors and designs.
The article reports polling and race context in mostly neutral language, with claims attributed to polls, analysts or campaign representatives. It includes criticism of Flanagan from Tafoya’s campaign manager and notes that Flanagan’s campaign was contacted.
- Language tone — The writing is largely descriptive and does not use sustained partisan or emotionally loaded language.
- Source selection — The article draws on multiple polls, a race-rating source, prediction markets and a campaign representative.
- Framing — The piece frames the story as a competitive race and places it within the national Senate contest.
A September poll put Democratic Senate candidate Peggy Flanagan ahead of Republican Michele Tafoya, 48.2% to 44.4%, but the margin was within the survey’s error range. The race is part of Democrats’ effort to regain control of the Senate.
A Quantus Insights poll conducted September 8–10 among 720 likely voters found Flanagan leading Tafoya, 48.2% to 44.4%, with a margin of error of 4.2 percentage points. The article also describes other recent polls that generally showed Flanagan ahead, sometimes within the margin of error. (The poll results and methodology are reported in the article.)
Community verdict
9 VOTESPeople in this story
SWIPE →Democratic Senate candidate; identified in the article as Peggy Flanagan
Flanagan's version of this story ↗President whose election results, approval and administration’s immigration approach are discussed as political context
Former president mentioned in a comparison of presidential election results
Vermont senator who backed Flanagan
Minnesota governor and Harris’s running mate in the 2024 election
Representative defeated by Flanagan in the Democratic primary
Former vice president mentioned in the account of Minnesota’s 2024 presidential vote
Former Minnesota senator mentioned in the history of the state’s Senate elections
Minnesota representative who backed Flanagan
Minnesota senator who is retiring
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