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● InformationalElections / Campaigns

Map Shows Shift in Midterm Districts From 'Solid' Republican to 'Likely'

Cook downgraded Turner’s Ohio district to Likely Republican, citing signs of a potentially more competitive race.

Map Shows Shift in Midterm Districts From 'Solid' Republican to 'Likely'
Image · Newsweek

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Outlet credibilityNewsweek75/100 HIGH
This article1 analysis · Sep 30, 2026
Newsweek
Aug 15, 2026
tl;dr

The Cook Political Report downgraded three Republican-held House districts in Ohio and Colorado from “Solid Republican” to “Likely Republican,” signaling increased—but not toss-up-level—competition for the incumbents in the 2026 midterms.

Community verdict

VOTING CLOSED
How does this story look for
NOT RATEDCLOSED

No good or bad look here

This story reports what happened without casting Turner in a good or bad light, so readers don’t rate it and it doesn’t count toward Turner’s record.

● INFORMATIONAL

People in this story

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Ohio representative whose district’s Cook rating shifted to Likely Republican

PRIMARY SUBJECT
Jeff Hurd
R · CO-3

Colorado representative whose district’s Cook rating shifted to Likely Republican

Hurd's version of this story ↗
Mike Carey
R · OH-15

Ohio representative whose district’s Cook rating shifted to Likely Republican

Carey's version of this story ↗
Bernie Moreno
R · OH · SEN

Republican senator whose 2024 result in Ohio’s 15th District is compared with Carey’s

Donald Trump
R · President of the United States

President whose 2024 Ohio and district results are cited as electoral context

Democratic candidate challenging Carey

Democratic candidate challenging Hurd

Kamala Harris
Former U.S. Senator (D-CA)

Former vice president whose 2024 result in Colorado is cited as electoral context

Democratic candidate challenging Turner

Sherrod Brown
Former U.S. Senator (D-OH)

Democratic Senate candidate whose prospects are discussed as a possible source of coattails

ALSO MENTIONED  Amy Acton, Democratic gubernatorial candidate in Ohio; Victor Marx, Republican gubernatorial nominee in Colorado; Vivek Ramaswamy, Republican candidate in Ohio’s gubernatorial race

Part of a bigger story

2 OUTLETS
Cook Political Report Shifts Ratings for Three House Districts
COVERAGE BY OUTLET LEANTHIS OUTLET
ARTICLES
2
OUTLETS
2
AVG CRED
60
ALSO ABOUTMike Carey

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