Midterms 2026 Kansas Senate race: Can Democrat Adam Hamilton defeat Roger Marshall? What latest polls say
Hamilton is narrowly ahead in one recent poll, though other surveys show Marshall leading.

SOURCE CHECK
TAP FOR WHYHindustan Times is an established news organization with identifiable authorship and a substantial publication history. The article attributes its polling and race-rating claims to named surveys and political handicappers, though it gives limited detail on some of the surveys.
- Source type — Established international news publisher; a positive institutional signal.
- Editorial standards — The publisher has an established newsroom, but this article offers limited detail for some polling claims.
- Author attribution — An author is named, although only by first name.
The article compares several polls, provides figures and dates for some surveys, and attributes race-rating changes to named political handicappers. Some polling details are sparse, and it offers little direct input from the candidates or broader examination of the surveys’ methods.
HOW WE SCORE ↗The article includes polls that point in different directions and presents ratings from several handicappers. It relies on polling and analyst assessments, without candidate responses or substantial independent context.
- Source diversity — Several polls and political handicappers are represented, though the evidence is mainly survey-based.
- Counterarguments presented — Polls showing Marshall ahead temper the Emerson survey’s narrow Hamilton lead.
- Omitted context — No candidate comments or detailed methodology for most surveys are included.
The article presents polling results and race ratings in straightforward language, including findings that favor each candidate. It does not clearly advocate for either side.
- Language tone — Mostly neutral descriptions of polling and race ratings.
- Source selection — Includes surveys showing leads for both candidates and assessments from multiple handicappers.
- Framing — Frames the contest as close rather than presenting either candidate as the clear favorite.
Recent polls show a close Kansas Senate race, with one survey giving Democrat Adam Hamilton a narrow lead over Republican incumbent Roger Marshall while other polls show Marshall ahead. Political handicappers have shifted the race from Likely Republican to Lean Republican.
An Emerson College Polling-Nexstar Media survey of 750 likely voters, conducted September 15–16, found Adam Hamilton at 45% and Roger Marshall at 43%; Libertarian candidate David Graham had 4%, and 8% were undecided. Other recent polls showed Marshall leading, and RealClearPolling’s average gave him a 1.5-point advantage.
The article reports that Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball and Fox News Power Rankings changed Kansas from Likely Republican to Lean Republican. It says the polls vary and the race remains close, with economic issues, independent voters and scrutiny of Marshall’s medical billing and collection practices among the factors discussed.
Community verdict
VOTING CLOSEDNo good or bad look here
This story reports what happened without casting Hamilton in a good or bad light, so readers don’t rate it and it doesn’t count toward Hamilton’s record.
People in this story
SWIPE →Republican incumbent senator from Kansas and 2026 Senate candidate
Marshall's version of this story ↗Libertarian Senate candidate in Kansas
Part of a bigger story
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