Fox News Poll: Michigan voters split between El-Sayed and Rogers
The poll finds Rogers one point behind El-Sayed among likely voters and details groups that favor him.

SOURCE CHECK
TAP FOR WHYFox News is an established national outlet with a substantial reporting operation. The article identifies its pollsters and gives detailed methodology, though the byline is not named and the reporting relies on a single poll.
- Source type — Established national news outlet.
- Transparency — Provides poll dates, sample details, interviewing methods and margins of sampling error.
- Editorial standards — Reports poll results with caveats about comparisons, subgroup sizes and sampling limitations.
- Author attribution — The main report has no named byline; a contributor is identified.
The article supplies substantial methodological detail, attributes the poll analysis to its pollsters and notes limitations such as subgroup sampling error. Its account is nevertheless based on one survey and offers little external context for interpreting the results.
HOW WE SCORE ↗The article presents results and concerns on both sides of the Senate race and explains the polling methods. Its reliance on one poll, without outside analysis or candidate responses, leaves some context untested.
- Counterarguments presented — Reports concerns about both El-Sayed and Rogers as well as each candidate's areas of support.
- Source diversity — Identifies the poll's Democratic and Republican pollsters, but does not include independent outside commentary.
- Omitted context — Notes that this is the first Fox News likely-voter poll of the season, limiting comparison with earlier results.
- Loaded language — Uses restrained language without overtly partisan characterization.
The report presents polling results and candidate vulnerabilities in a generally even-handed manner. It does not use distinctly partisan language or frame one candidate's position as more legitimate.
- Language tone — Mostly neutral language describing polling results and voter concerns.
- Framing — Reports both candidates' vulnerabilities and favorable constituencies.
- Source selection — Relies on one poll and quotes both the Republican and Democratic pollsters who conducted it.
A Fox News poll puts Abdul El-Sayed narrowly ahead of Mike Rogers in Michigan’s Senate race among likely voters, while showing concerns about both candidates and shifting preferences since August. The poll also reports a lead for Democrat Jocelyn Benson in the gubernatorial race.
The poll found El-Sayed leading Rogers 50% to 49% among likely voters; among registered voters, El-Sayed led 51% to 48%, reversing an August result that had Rogers ahead. Voters were nearly evenly divided over whether Rogers is too close to President Donald Trump or El-Sayed is too liberal. The pollsters also reported that cost-of-living concerns favored El-Sayed, while voters focused on immigration favored Rogers.
Community verdict
VOTING CLOSEDNo good or bad look here
This story reports what happened without casting Rogers in a good or bad light, so readers don’t rate it and it doesn’t count toward Rogers’s record.
People in this story
SWIPE →Republican Senate candidate whose standing and voter support are assessed in the poll
Democratic Senate candidate whose standing and voter support are assessed in the poll
El-Sayed's version of this story ↗Republican gubernatorial candidate
El-Sayed's primary opponent, whose supporters' stated general-election preferences are reported
Democratic candidate who defeated Rogers in the 2024 Senate race
President whose relationship with Rogers and voter approval are discussed in the Senate polling
Part of a bigger story
6 OUTLETSOutlets agree that recent polling in the Michigan Senate race shows a competitive contest between Republican Mike Rogers and Democrat Abdul El-Sayed, with results ranging from an even split to a seven-point lead for El-Sayed. Center outlets focus on shifting numbers across surveys, with Newsweek highlighting El-Sayed reaching his widest lead of the campaign. Right-leaning outlets emphasize that Rogers remains virtually tied or within one point, with Jns pairing poll results with voter criticism of El-Sayed.
- ARTICLES
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- OUTLETS
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- AVG CRED
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