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Talarico holds narrow lead over Paxton in latest Texas Senate poll

A Texas Southern University poll puts Paxton one point behind James Talarico in the Senate race.

Talarico holds narrow lead over Paxton in latest Texas Senate poll
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This article1 analysis · Oct 5, 2026
Sep 22, 2026
tl;dr

A Texas Southern University poll found James Talarico leading Ken Paxton by one point in the Texas U.S. Senate race, 47% to 46%. The survey also found negative favorability ratings for both candidates and some Republican support for Talarico.

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Ken Paxton R · TX
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This story reports what happened without casting Paxton in a good or bad light, so readers don’t rate it and it doesn’t count toward Paxton’s record.

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Ken Paxton
R · TX

Republican candidate in the Texas U.S. Senate race

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Democratic candidate in the Texas U.S. Senate race

Talarico's version of this story ↗

Libertarian candidate in the Texas U.S. Senate race

Libertarian candidate for Texas lieutenant governor

Libertarian candidate for Texas railroad commissioner

Democratic candidate for Texas comptroller

ALSO MENTIONED  Austin Kelly, Libertarian candidate for Texas agriculture commissioner; Benjamin Flores, Democratic candidate for Texas land commissioner; Bo French, Republican candidate for Texas railroad commissioner; Clayton Tucker, Democratic candidate for Texas agriculture commissioner; Dan Patrick, Texas lieutenant governor and Republican candidate for reelection; Dawn Buckingham, Republican candidate for Texas land commissioner; Don Huffines, Republican candidate for Texas comptroller; Gina Hinojosa, Democratic candidate for Texas governor; Greg Abbott, Texas governor and Republican candidate for reelection; Jon Rosenthal, Democratic candidate for Texas railroad commissioner; Kevin McCormick, Green Party candidate for Texas lieutenant governor; Mayes Middleton, Republican candidate for Texas attorney general; Nate Sheets, Republican candidate for Texas agriculture commissioner; Nathan Johnson, Democratic candidate for Texas attorney general; Neill Snider, Libertarian candidate for Texas land commissioner; Shela Faizi, Green Party candidate for Texas comptroller; Tom Oxford, Libertarian candidate for Texas attorney general; V. Alonzo Echavarria-Garza, Libertarian candidate for Texas comptroller; Vikki Goodwin, Democratic candidate for Texas lieutenant governor

Part of a bigger story

10 OUTLETS
Polls Show Talarico Leading Paxton in Texas Senate Race

Outlets report polls putting James Talarico ahead of Ken Paxton in the Texas Senate race, though the reported margins vary. Left-leaning outlets portray Paxton as facing campaign trouble, with one focusing on a campaign-post error and the other on polling and Republican concern. Center outlets mostly emphasize poll results and voter expectations, while also covering criticism of Paxton's campaign tactics. Right-leaning outlets pair reports of Talarico's lead with criticism of his views and potential vulnerabilities.

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