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● InformationalElections / Campaigns

Talarico's lead on Paxton is growing as midterm approaches, and it's up to 5 points, according to latest Texas Senate race poll

The article compares Paxton’s support with Talarico’s and reports where Paxton’s backing is strongest.

Talarico's lead on Paxton is growing as midterm approaches, and it's up to 5 points, according to latest Texas Senate race poll
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This article1 analysis · Sep 28, 2026
tl;dr

A Texas Public Opinion Research poll puts James Talarico five points ahead of Ken Paxton in the Texas Senate race, with other cited polls also showing Talarico ahead. The article says the race is now rated a toss-up by the Cook Political Report.

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Ken Paxton R · TX
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No good or bad look here

This story reports what happened without casting Paxton in a good or bad light, so readers don’t rate it and it doesn’t count toward Paxton’s record.

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Ken Paxton
R · TX

Republican candidate trailing in polling for the Texas Senate race

PRIMARY SUBJECT

Democratic candidate leading in polling for the Texas Senate race

Talarico's version of this story ↗
Donald Trump
R · President of the United States

President whose super PAC is reported to have contributed to the race

John Thune
R · SD · SEN

Senate majority leader linked to a Senate Leadership Fund affiliate investing in Texas

Part of a bigger story

10 OUTLETS
Polls Show Talarico Leading Paxton in Texas Senate Race

Polls reported by center and right outlets put James Talarico ahead of Ken Paxton in the Texas Senate race, though reported gaps vary and some are within the margin of error. Left-leaning outlets focus on Paxton deleting a campaign post after misstating a Texas city, presenting it as a campaign mistake. Center outlets mostly track poll results and their close margins, voter expectations, or changing race ratings, with one article focusing on Paxton's use of Alyssa Edwards in campaign messaging. Right-leaning outlets report Talarico's lead while adding criticism of his religious views or highlighting potential political vulnerabilities.

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