Talarico's lead on Paxton is growing as midterm approaches, and it's up to 5 points, according to latest Texas Senate race poll
The article compares Paxton’s support with Talarico’s and reports where Paxton’s backing is strongest.

SOURCE CHECK
TAP FOR WHYWe Got This Covered is listed as trade press, but this article provides limited sourcing detail and does not link or identify the underlying polling materials. The unusual field-date range also raises questions about precision, so the outlet receives a below-average institutional score.
- Source type — A trade-press classification is not in itself a strong indicator of established political-news reporting.
- Transparency — The article names polling organizations but gives limited information on methodology beyond sample size and margin of error.
- Editorial standards — The stated survey dates appear reversed, and no correction or verification information is provided in the text.
- Author attribution — A named author is provided.
The article supplies numerical results from multiple polls and reports the TPOR sample size and margin of error. However, it offers little polling methodology or direct sourcing, and its stated field dates are internally suspect; the candidate-support and issue findings are largely presented without broader context.
HOW WE SCORE ↗The article includes polling results and voter-support reasons for both candidates, and it reports several sources for the race’s standing. It gives little context about poll methodology or competing interpretations, and its narrative emphasis favors Talarico.
- Counterarguments presented — Paxton’s support among older and white voters and reasons given by his supporters are included.
- Source diversity — The story cites TPOR, Marist, NBC 5 Dallas/Telemundo and the Cook Political Report, but does not present campaign responses.
- Loaded language — Some phrasing depicts Talarico’s momentum favorably, though the article is mostly written as a poll report.
- Omitted context — Polling methods and context for comparing the surveys are limited.
The framing mildly favors Talarico by emphasizing his momentum and describing his performance positively, while presenting Paxton’s standing in less expansive terms. The article nevertheless reports polling results for both candidates and does not use strongly ideological language.
- Framing — The story presents the results as a favorable trend for Talarico.
- Language tone — Phrases such as “performing very well” and “momentum” give the Talarico results a positive emphasis.
- Source selection — Several polls are cited, all showing Talarico ahead, but the article does not discuss possible polling differences or uncertainty beyond one poll's margin of error.
A Texas Public Opinion Research poll puts James Talarico five points ahead of Ken Paxton in the Texas Senate race, with other cited polls also showing Talarico ahead. The article says the race is now rated a toss-up by the Cook Political Report.
The Texas Public Opinion Research poll reports Talarico at 49 percent and Paxton at 44 percent, with 3 percent undecided. It says Talarico leads among several demographic groups and among independents, while Paxton leads among white voters and voters 55 and older. The article also reports candidate-support reasons and issue polling on cost of living, data centers and artificial intelligence.
The article cites two other polls showing Talarico ahead and says the Cook Political Report shifted the race to “toss-up.” It reports that Republican groups are investing in Texas, including a Senate Leadership Fund affiliate tied to John Thune, and that a recent Federal Election Commission filing showed President Trump’s super PAC contributed $5 million to the race. The TPOR survey is described as including 1,007 respondents and having a 3.6-point margin of error; the stated field dates are September 19 to September 2.
Community verdict
VOTING CLOSEDNo good or bad look here
This story reports what happened without casting Paxton in a good or bad light, so readers don’t rate it and it doesn’t count toward Paxton’s record.
People in this story
SWIPE →Democratic candidate leading in polling for the Texas Senate race
Talarico's version of this story ↗President whose super PAC is reported to have contributed to the race
Senate majority leader linked to a Senate Leadership Fund affiliate investing in Texas
Part of a bigger story
10 OUTLETSPolls reported by center and right outlets put James Talarico ahead of Ken Paxton in the Texas Senate race, though reported gaps vary and some are within the margin of error. Left-leaning outlets focus on Paxton deleting a campaign post after misstating a Texas city, presenting it as a campaign mistake. Center outlets mostly track poll results and their close margins, voter expectations, or changing race ratings, with one article focusing on Paxton's use of Alyssa Edwards in campaign messaging. Right-leaning outlets report Talarico's lead while adding criticism of his religious views or highlighting potential political vulnerabilities.
- ARTICLES
- 14
- OUTLETS
- 10
- AVG CRED
- 66
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