Shock poll in Texas shows Jasmine Crockett on the ropes
The poll shows Crockett trailing Talarico overall, while leading among Black and Election Day voters.

SOURCE CHECK
TAP FOR WHYCredibility rates Daily Mail, which republished this story. The other scores rate the article itself.
The Daily Mail is an established, bylined news publisher, but its tabloid style and uneven reputation warrant a lower score than major newspapers of record. This article attributes polling claims and includes a named polling executive, though it provides limited methodological detail.
- Source type — An established international news publisher, tempered by a tabloid format.
- Editorial standards — The reporting attributes figures to named polling organizations but offers limited methodological detail.
- Author attribution — The article names its author.
The article gives precise polling figures, identifies the polling sources and quotes an Emerson polling executive about turnout. It provides little detail about survey methods and relies partly on a partisan committee's poll without presenting a response from the candidates.
HOW WE SCORE ↗The article compares both Democratic candidates and reports polling across voter groups, while also covering the Republican primary. Its polling discussion is informative, though the methods and candidate perspectives are not developed.
- Source diversity — It draws on Emerson, the NRSC and Axios, and includes a statement from an Emerson executive.
- Counterarguments presented — It reports both candidates' support and notes voter groups where each does better, but includes no candidate responses.
- Loaded language — The headline's dramatic phrasing adds a tabloid edge to otherwise factual polling coverage.
The article mainly reports polling figures and attributes claims to their sources. Its sensational wording does not establish a discernible partisan lean.
- Language tone — The headline calls the poll a shock and Crockett on the ropes, but the body largely uses straightforward reporting.
- Source selection — The article cites Emerson polling, an NRSC poll and an Axios report, without an evident partisan case for either Democratic candidate.
Republished
Republished from Daily Mail. The relationship between the two publishers has not been determined.
454 stories · 54–55 · updated Oct 12, 2026
This is Daily Mail's own score, and this article is credited to Daily Mail. The host score in the Source Check is Daily Mail's.
A final Emerson College Polling/Nexstar survey puts James Talarico ahead of Jasmine Crockett in the Texas Democratic Senate primary, 52% to 47%, one day before voting. The result could spare the leader a runoff, while the article says Republican candidates may face one.
The article reports that the final Emerson College Polling/Nexstar Media poll found Talarico leading Crockett among likely Democratic primary voters, 52% to 47%, outside the stated margin of error. It says the lead could let Talarico avoid a runoff. The poll showed Talarico ahead among white and Hispanic voters, men, younger voters and early voters; Crockett led among Black voters and Election Day voters. Emerson polling executive director Spencer Kimball said the outcome could depend on which group turns out in greater numbers.
The article also describes Republican Senate candidates John Cornyn, Ken Paxton and Wesley Hunt, reporting that a National Republican Senatorial Committee poll showed Cornyn performing better against either Democrat and that Cornyn and Paxton were likely headed to a runoff. It attributes concern that Talarico could win the general election to a report by Axios and notes that Donald Trump did not endorse in the Republican race.
Community verdict
VOTING CLOSEDNo good or bad look here
This story reports what happened without casting Crockett in a good or bad light, so readers don’t rate it and it doesn’t count toward Crockett’s record.
People in this story
SWIPE →Representative and Democratic Senate candidate trailing in the reported primary poll
Democratic Senate candidate leading in the reported primary poll
Talarico's version of this story ↗President who did not endorse in the Republican Senate primary
Former representative referenced in an account of Crockett's past hearing exchange
Representative and Republican Senate candidate
Republican Senate candidate discussed in general-election polling and the possible primary runoff
Republican incumbent and Senate candidate discussed in general-election polling
Part of a bigger story
4 OUTLETSCenter outlets agree that a final Emerson/Nexstar poll showed James Talarico leading Jasmine Crockett ahead of the Texas Democratic Senate primary. Center outlets frame the result as part of a close polling picture, with some comparing other surveys and others highlighting different preferences among voter groups.
- ARTICLES
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- OUTLETS
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- AVG CRED
- 66
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