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● InformationalElections / Campaigns

Midterms Appear Grim For GOP — But Michele Tafoya Within Striking Distance In Minnesota

Tafoya is polling closer than expected in Minnesota’s Senate race and has made fraud a central campaign issue.

Midterms Appear Grim For GOP — But Michele Tafoya Within Striking Distance In Minnesota
Image · Daily Caller News Foundation

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This article1 analysis · Oct 11, 2026
tl;dr

Michele Tafoya is polling closer than expected in Minnesota’s Senate race, though Peggy Flanagan leads by an average of 1.6 points and one forecaster rates the race likely Democratic. The article also compares Republican candidates’ prospects across several other states.

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This story reports what happened without casting Tafoya in a good or bad light, so readers don’t rate it and it doesn’t count toward Tafoya’s record.

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Republican Minnesota Senate candidate

PRIMARY SUBJECT

Democratic Minnesota Senate candidate and lieutenant governor

Flanagan's version of this story ↗

Democratic Texas Senate candidate

Donald Trump
R · President of the United States

President and Republican candidate in the 2024 election, mentioned for Minnesota election context

Republican North Carolina Senate candidate

Timothy J. Walz
Former U.S. Representative (D-MN)

Minnesota governor whose administration is discussed in connection with fraud allegations

Kamala Harris
Former U.S. Senator (D-CA)

Former vice president, mentioned in the 2024 Minnesota presidential result

Democratic Kansas Senate candidate

Ken Paxton
R · TX

Republican Texas Senate candidate and state attorney general

Roy Cooper
D · NC

Democratic North Carolina Senate candidate

Roger Marshall
R · KS · SEN

Republican Kansas senator and Senate candidate

ALSO MENTIONED  Christine Drazan, Republican Oregon state senator discussed in the state’s governor’s race; Norm Coleman, Former Minnesota senator, mentioned as historical context; Tina Kotek, Oregon governor and Democratic candidate in the governor’s race

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