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● InformationalElections / Campaigns

'You're in a dogfight': New poll suggests three major statewide races in Florida are virtually tied

The poll found Donalds narrowly ahead of David Jolly in Florida’s gubernatorial race.

'You're in a dogfight': New poll suggests three major statewide races in Florida are virtually tied
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This article1 analysis · Oct 5, 2026
Sep 22, 2026
tl;dr

A St. Pete Polls survey found Florida’s gubernatorial and U.S. Senate races nearly tied, and also showed a close attorney general race. The results shifted the race ratings toward greater competitiveness, though a political science professor cautioned that few recent polls are available for comparison.

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VOTING CLOSED
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Byron Donalds R · FL-19
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This story reports what happened without casting Donalds in a good or bad light, so readers don’t rate it and it doesn’t count toward Donalds’s record.

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People in this story

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Byron Donalds
R · FL-19

Republican gubernatorial nominee in the poll

PRIMARY SUBJECT
Ashley Moody
R · FL · SEN

Republican incumbent in the U.S. Senate race

Moody's version of this story ↗
David W. Jolly
Former U.S. Representative (R-FL)

Democratic gubernatorial opponent of Byron Donalds

Jolly's version of this story ↗

Democratic U.S. Senate candidate

Nixon's version of this story ↗
ALSO MENTIONED  James Uthmeier, Republican incumbent in the Florida attorney general’s race; Jose Javier Rodriguez, Democratic candidate in the Florida attorney general’s race

Part of a bigger story

9 OUTLETS
Donalds and Jolly Dispute Debate Plans in Florida Governor's Race

Donalds’s campaign said it had accepted three proposed debates with David Jolly, who said he would not participate; the campaigns gave differing accounts of the proposals and arrangements. Center outlets describe competing accounts of debate proposals and a failure to agree on arrangements. Right-leaning outlets emphasize Jolly’s refusal and his criticism of Donalds.

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