'You're in a dogfight': New poll suggests three major statewide races in Florida are virtually tied
The poll found Moody narrowly ahead of Democratic challenger Angie Nixon.

SOURCE CHECK
TAP FOR WHYWOKV is an established local news outlet with an identified author and attribution to campaign representatives and a political science professor. The article provides limited detail about the poll’s methodology, which constrains confidence in its reporting of the results.
- Source type — Established local news outlet covering Florida politics.
- Transparency — Identifies the polling organization and attributes statements to sources.
- Author attribution — An individual author is identified.
- Editorial standards — No specific corrections or standards information is available in the article.
The article identifies the polling firm, gives the reported margins and includes comments from candidates or campaigns and an academic. It does not provide the poll’s sample size, field dates, methodology or margin of error, and the expert notes that there are few other recent polls for comparison.
HOW WE SCORE ↗The article presents candidates’ and campaigns’ responses, including Moody’s campaign declining to comment, and adds an expert’s caution about the limited number of polls. It gives more direct quoted response from some sides than others and offers little polling-method detail.
- Source diversity — Includes candidates, a campaign spokesperson and a political science professor.
- Counterarguments presented — Reports candidate and campaign reactions and an expert’s caution about interpreting the poll.
- Omitted context — Does not provide poll methodology or detailed information about the polling sample.
- Loaded language — The article itself is mostly neutral, though it quotes partisan campaign language.
The article reports poll findings and includes statements from candidates and campaigns without adopting their political arguments. Its description of the race ratings is largely neutral.
- Language tone — Mostly factual and restrained language.
- Source selection — Includes candidate or campaign responses and an academic perspective.
- Framing — Frames the story around poll results and race competitiveness.
A St. Pete Polls survey found Florida’s gubernatorial and U.S. Senate races nearly tied, and also showed a close attorney general race. The results shifted the race ratings toward greater competitiveness, though a political science professor cautioned that few recent polls are available for comparison.
St. Pete Polls found Republican gubernatorial nominee Byron Donalds leading Democrat David Jolly by one-tenth of a percentage point, and Republican Sen. Ashley Moody leading Democrat Angie Nixon by less than half a percentage point. Jolly said he was not surprised by the results, while Nixon said they aligned with what her campaign was seeing. Moody’s campaign declined to comment; Donalds’ campaign said he would win and criticized Jolly’s agenda.
The poll shifted Florida’s gubernatorial race rating from “leans Republican” to a tossup and the Senate race from “likely Republican” to “leans Republican.” UCF political science professor Aubrey Jewett said the numbers suggest Florida could be competitive for Democrats, but cautioned that there have been only a few recent polls. The poll also found Republican incumbent James Uthmeier leading Democrat Jose Javier Rodriguez by 1.4 points in the attorney general’s race.
Community verdict
VOTING CLOSEDNo good or bad look here
This story reports what happened without casting Moody in a good or bad light, so readers don’t rate it and it doesn’t count toward Moody’s record.
People in this story
SWIPE →Democratic gubernatorial opponent of Byron Donalds
Jolly's version of this story ↗Part of a bigger story
4 OUTLETSPolls show a close Florida Senate race between Ashley Moody and Angie Nixon. Center outlets focus on the close polling; one notes that polling averages and an election forecast still favor Moody, while another also covers close gubernatorial and attorney general races and a professor’s caution about limited polling.
- ARTICLES
- 4
- OUTLETS
- 4
- AVG CRED
- 74
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