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● InformationalElections / Campaigns

'You're in a dogfight': New poll suggests three major statewide races in Florida are virtually tied

The poll found Moody narrowly ahead of Democratic challenger Angie Nixon.

'You're in a dogfight': New poll suggests three major statewide races in Florida are virtually tied
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This article1 analysis · Oct 5, 2026
Sep 22, 2026
tl;dr

A St. Pete Polls survey found Florida’s gubernatorial and U.S. Senate races nearly tied, and also showed a close attorney general race. The results shifted the race ratings toward greater competitiveness, though a political science professor cautioned that few recent polls are available for comparison.

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Ashley Moody R · FL · SEN
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This story reports what happened without casting Moody in a good or bad light, so readers don’t rate it and it doesn’t count toward Moody’s record.

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Ashley Moody
R · FL · SEN

Republican incumbent in the U.S. Senate race

PRIMARY SUBJECT
Byron Donalds
R · FL-19

Republican gubernatorial nominee in the poll

Donalds's version of this story ↗
David W. Jolly
Former U.S. Representative (R-FL)

Democratic gubernatorial opponent of Byron Donalds

Jolly's version of this story ↗

Democratic U.S. Senate candidate

Nixon's version of this story ↗
ALSO MENTIONED  James Uthmeier, Republican incumbent in the Florida attorney general’s race; Jose Javier Rodriguez, Democratic candidate in the Florida attorney general’s race

Part of a bigger story

4 OUTLETS
Poll Shows Tight Florida Senate Race Between Ashley Moody and Angie Nixon

Polls show a close Florida Senate race between Ashley Moody and Angie Nixon. Center outlets focus on the close polling; one notes that polling averages and an election forecast still favor Moody, while another also covers close gubernatorial and attorney general races and a professor’s caution about limited polling.

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