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● InformationalElections / Campaigns

Is Texas in play? How Paxton's win could shape the fight for Senate control

Paxton’s runoff victory prompted analysts to reassess the competitiveness of the Texas Senate race.

Is Texas in play? How Paxton's win could shape the fight for Senate control
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This article1 analysis · Oct 6, 2026
WLWT
May 27, 2026
tl;dr

Ken Paxton defeated Sen. John Cornyn in the Texas Republican runoff, prompting analysts to say the Senate race may be more competitive for Democrats. The Cook Political Report shifted its rating from “likely Republican” to “lean Republican.”

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Ken Paxton R · TX
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This story reports what happened without casting Paxton in a good or bad light, so readers don’t rate it and it doesn’t count toward Paxton’s record.

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Ken Paxton
R · TX

Republican nominee after winning the Texas Senate primary runoff

PRIMARY SUBJECT

Democratic nominee in the Texas Senate race

Donald Trump
R · President of the United States

President who endorsed Paxton

Thomas Massie
R · KY-4

Kentucky representative mentioned as another Trump-backed challenger’s opponent

Bill Cassidy
R · LA · SEN

Louisiana senator mentioned as another Trump-backed challenger’s opponent

John Cornyn
R · TX · SEN

Texas senator defeated by Paxton in the Republican primary runoff

Part of a bigger story

55 OUTLETS
Ken Paxton Defeats John Cornyn in Texas Senate Runoff

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