election forecasters boost Democrats' chances of holding Ohio's 1st Congressional District
Representative Greg Landsman's re-election chances were upgraded to 'Lean Democrat' by major forecasters despite a newly drawn, more Republican-leaning district.

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This article1 analysis · Apr 20, 2026
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Published Apr 13, 2026
tl;dr
Election forecasters Sabato's Crystal Ball and The Cook Political Report shifted Ohio's 1st Congressional District race from 'Toss-up' to 'Lean Democrat.' Despite GOP-friendly redistricting, forecasters cite Democratic incumbent Greg Landsman's incumbency and a lack of high-profile Republican challengers as key factors.
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