Poll finds David Jolly in good position against Byron Donalds, even as Democrats struggle elsewhere
The poll puts Jolly ahead of Donalds after respondents receive biographical information about both candidates.

SOURCE CHECK
TAP FOR WHYCredibility rates The Miami Times, where this article appeared. The other scores rate the article itself.
The byline credits Florida Politics, an identifiable political-news outlet, and names the reporter. The page offers limited visible information about its corrections practices or editorial standards.
- Source type — Political reporting from an established niche outlet, republished by a local newspaper.
- Author attribution — The article identifies a reporter and credits Florida Politics.
- Editorial standards — The page does not describe editorial standards or corrections practices.
The article provides poll dates, sample sizes, several results and caveats about candidate descriptions and missing cross-tabs. It relies on one poll and does not include responses from the candidates or fuller methodological documentation.
HOW WE SCORE ↗The article reports the poll’s findings alongside caveats about the descriptions, pollster and absent cross-tabs, and presents other measures that complicate the headline result. It does not include campaign responses or a second poll for direct comparison.
- Counterarguments presented — The article notes the poll’s limitations and contrasts the result with party favorability data.
- Source diversity — Most evidence comes from a single poll and its polling memo.
- Omitted context — No candidate responses or full demographic cross-tabs are provided.
The report describes the poll’s results and limitations in largely neutral terms. It notes both the pollster’s perceived partisan leaning and possible bias in the candidate biographies without adopting an overtly partisan position.
- Language tone — Mostly descriptive language, with attributed evaluations of the poll and biographies.
- Framing — Discusses Jolly’s lead while emphasizing the hypothetical setup and limits of the survey.
- Source selection — Relies on one poll and its memo, while also comparing some results with party favorability figures.
Original publisher not identified
This article credits another publisher, which ChamberLight has not identified, so the scores are The Miami Times's own.
A Change Research poll gives Democrat David Jolly a five-point edge over Republican Byron Donalds in a hypothetical Florida governor’s race after voters receive candidate biographies. The article notes limits in the poll’s framing and reports separate results for Senate candidates Ashley Moody and Alex Vindman.
The poll, conducted June 11–14 among 1,273 voters, found Jolly ahead by five points after respondents received biographical information about both candidates. Among respondents likely to vote, Jolly led 49% to 43%. The article cautions that the descriptions could shape perceptions and notes Change Research is considered left of center and often polls for Democrats.
The article says Jolly’s description drew from his campaign website, while Donalds’s drew from public talking points. The poll also found Sen. Ashley Moody leading Alex Vindman by three points. In follow-up questions not included in candidate support levels, respondents reported concerns about Donalds’s support for AI data centers, stock-trading allegations and remarks about the Jim Crow era.
Community verdict
VOTING CLOSEDNo good or bad look here
This story reports what happened without casting Jolly in a good or bad light, so readers don’t rate it and it doesn’t count toward Jolly’s record.
People in this story
SWIPE →Democratic front-runner in the hypothetical Florida governor’s race and former member of Congress
Republican front-runner in the hypothetical Florida governor’s race and U.S. representative
Donalds's version of this story ↗President; cited as an endorser of Donalds and in poll approval results
Republican U.S. Senate candidate
Florida governor
Democratic U.S. Senate candidate
Part of a bigger story
2 OUTLETS- ARTICLES
- 2
- OUTLETS
- 2
- AVG CRED
- 75
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