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● InformationalElections / Campaigns

Trump is the GOAT in swaying GOP races — and prediction markets say he'll decide Texas this way

Trump’s expected endorsement could reshape the Texas Republican runoff, though the article recounts both successes and failures among his past endorsements.

Trump is the GOAT in swaying GOP races — and prediction markets say he'll decide Texas this way
Image · The Independent

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Outlet credibilityThe Independent77/100 HIGH
This article1 analysis · Oct 9, 2026
tl;dr

The article examines whether Donald Trump will endorse John Cornyn in Texas’s Republican Senate runoff against Ken Paxton, and how much such an endorsement could matter. Prediction markets shifted sharply toward Cornyn after a report said Trump was likely to back him.

Community verdict

VOTING CLOSED
How does this story look for
Donald Trump R · President of the United States
NOT RATEDCLOSED

No good or bad look here

This story reports what happened without casting Trump in a good or bad light, so readers don’t rate it and it doesn’t count toward Trump’s record.

● INFORMATIONAL

People in this story

SWIPE →
Donald Trump
R · President of the United States

President and influential Republican endorser whose possible Texas endorsement is the article’s focus

PRIMARY SUBJECT
John Cornyn
R · TX · SEN

Texas Republican senator seeking renomination

Cornyn's version of this story ↗
Ken Paxton
R · TX

Republican Senate candidate in Texas and Cornyn’s runoff opponent

Paxton's version of this story ↗

Democratic Senate candidate in Texas

Texas representative and Democratic Senate primary candidate

Mike Johnson
R · LA-4

Speaker of the House who urged Gonzales to end his reelection bid

Raphael G. Warnock
D · GA · SEN

U.S. senator from Georgia who voiced support for Talarico

Kari Lake
R · AZ

Former Republican candidate for governor in Arizona endorsed by Trump

Bernie Sanders
I · VT · SEN

U.S. senator from Vermont who voiced support for Talarico

John Thune
R · SD · SEN

U.S. senator from South Dakota and Senate majority leader

Former Republican Senate candidate in Georgia endorsed by Trump

Eric Schmitt
R · MO · SEN

U.S. senator from Missouri and former attorney general

Kristi Noem
Former U.S. Representative (R-SD)

Former South Dakota governor and former Homeland Security secretary

Tony Gonzales
Former U.S. Representative (R-TX)

Texas representative and former Republican congressional candidate

James Lankford
R · OK · SEN

U.S. senator from Oklahoma who supports a Cornyn endorsement

J.D. Vance
Vice President of the United States

Vice President and former Ohio Senate candidate endorsed by Trump

Mark Davis
I · FL

Talk show host who opposed a Trump endorsement of Cornyn

Josh Hawley
R · MO · SEN

U.S. senator from Missouri

Rob Portman
Former U.S. Senator (R-OH)

Former U.S. senator from Ohio whose seat Vance sought

David McCormick
R · PA · SEN

Pennsylvania senator and Oz’s former primary opponent

David A. Perdue
Former U.S. Senator (R-GA)

Former senator and Republican candidate for Georgia governor

Ruben Gallego
D · AZ · SEN

U.S. senator from Arizona who defeated Kari Lake

Mehmet Oz
R · PA

Former Pennsylvania Senate candidate endorsed by Trump

ALSO MENTIONED  Brian Kemp, Georgia governor and Republican incumbent challenged by David Perdue; Eric Greitens, Former Missouri governor and Senate candidate; Greg Abbott, Texas governor who supported Nate Sheets; Nate Sheets, Republican candidate who defeated Sid Miller in a Texas primary; Ned Ryun, Conservative activist who argued Trump should endorse Paxton; Sid Miller, Texas agriculture commissioner and Republican primary candidate

Part of a bigger story

4 OUTLETS
Texas Senate Primary Results Set Cornyn-Paxton Runoff

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