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● InformationalElections / Campaigns

Rove says if Paxton doesn’t debate Talarico, ‘he loses’

Karl Rove predicted Paxton would lose his Senate race if he did not debate James Talarico.

Rove says if Paxton doesn’t debate Talarico, ‘he loses’
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This article1 analysis · Oct 3, 2026
The Hill
Oct 2, 2026
tl;dr

Republican strategist Karl Rove predicted Ken Paxton would lose his Texas Senate race if he refuses to debate James Talarico. The article also recounts Talarico’s debate challenge, recent poll results and President Trump’s comments about Paxton.

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VOTING CLOSED
How does this story look for
Ken Paxton R · TX
NOT RATEDCLOSED

No good or bad look here

This story reports what happened without casting Paxton in a good or bad light, so readers don’t rate it and it doesn’t count toward Paxton’s record.

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Ken Paxton
R · TX

Texas attorney general and Republican Senate candidate whose debate decision is the focus of Rove’s prediction

PRIMARY SUBJECT

Democratic Senate candidate and Paxton’s debate challenger

Donald Trump
R · President of the United States

President who endorsed Paxton and commented on him during stops in Texas and Oklahoma

ALSO MENTIONED  Karl Rove, Republican strategist predicting that Paxton would lose if he did not debate; David Axelrod, Democratic strategist commenting on Paxton’s debate history

Part of a bigger story

11 OUTLETS
James Talarico Challenges Ken Paxton to a Fox News Debate

Talarico challenged Paxton to a Fox News debate, and Paxton had not committed to one. Left-leaning outlets portray Paxton’s lack of commitment as avoiding Talarico’s challenge. Center outlets report the challenge and Paxton’s lack of commitment, with some considering the debate’s possible impact on the Senate race.

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