Shock Florida Poll Shows Even CNN's Harry Enten Underestimated Democrat Angie Nixon
A new poll puts Nixon nearly even with incumbent Ashley Moody in Florida’s Senate race.

SOURCE CHECK
TAP FOR WHYThe Daily Beast is an established national outlet, and the article attributes polling results and comparisons to named pollsters and publications. Its brief report gives limited detail about polling methods and does not include responses from the candidates.
- Source type — An established national news publisher.
- Transparency — The article identifies the polling organizations and publications behind reported findings.
- Author attribution — A named author is credited.
- Editorial standards — The article provides little detail about methods or corrections practice on the page.
The article gives specific results, a margin of error, sample weighting information and comparisons with other polls. It offers useful context but limited explanation of methodology and no direct candidate responses.
HOW WE SCORE ↗The report compares the new poll with earlier surveys and includes polling context, but it does not present responses from either campaign or substantial scrutiny of the poll’s methodology.
- Source diversity — The article references multiple polls and election analysts.
- Counterarguments presented — Earlier polls showing Moody ahead provide some counterpoint to the new result.
- Omitted context — The article offers little methodological detail and no candidate or campaign responses.
- Loaded language — The headline is emphatic, but the body is mostly reportorial.
The article uses a sensational headline and some politically charged descriptors, but its account mainly reports polling and election context without a clear partisan framing.
- Language tone — The headline calls the poll shocking, while the article mostly uses descriptive language.
- Source selection — Polling results and assessments are attributed to several organizations and outlets.
- Framing — The story emphasizes a close race and earlier forecasts, without a clearly partisan conclusion.
A new Florida poll puts Democratic Senate candidate Angie Nixon and Republican incumbent Ashley Moody nearly even, despite earlier polls and forecasts favoring Moody. The result adds uncertainty to a closely watched Senate race.
A St. Pete Polls survey commissioned by Florida Politics found Moody at 45.2 percent and Nixon at 44.8 percent among likely voters, a difference within the poll’s 3.2-point margin of error. The article also reports that Nixon led among independent voters and that 7.1 percent of respondents were undecided.
The article contrasts the new result with earlier polls that showed Moody ahead and recalls CNN analyst Harry Enten’s prediction that Nixon’s primary win would benefit Republicans. It notes Florida’s recent Republican registration advantage and reports that Decision Desk HQ later rated control of the Senate a toss-up.
Community verdict
11 VOTESPeople in this story
SWIPE →Republican incumbent in Florida’s U.S. Senate race
Moody's version of this story ↗President of the United States
Florida governor who appointed Moody to the Senate seat
Secretary of State and former senator from Florida
Former Democratic primary candidate in Florida
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