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◆ Mixed look for TrumpElections / Campaigns

Donald Trump's Texas Endorsement of Ken Paxton Turns Democrat James Talarico Into Favorite

Trump’s endorsement of Paxton and criticism of Cornyn are presented as the event that shifted the race’s market odds.

Donald Trump's Texas Endorsement of Ken Paxton Turns Democrat James Talarico Into Favorite
Image · The Daily Beast

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Outlet credibilityThe Daily Beast71/100 HIGH
This article1 analysis · Oct 6, 2026
tl;dr

Donald Trump endorsed Ken Paxton in Texas’s Republican Senate runoff and criticized incumbent John Cornyn; afterward, Kalshi reported that the market had moved from a Republican lead to a 50–50 tie between James Talarico and the eventual Republican nominee.

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How does this story look for
Donald Trump R · President of the United States
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People in this story

SWIPE →
Donald Trump
R · President of the United States

President who endorsed Paxton and criticized Cornyn

PRIMARY SUBJECT

Democratic Senate candidate whose odds rose after Trump’s endorsement

Talarico's version of this story ↗
Ken Paxton
R · TX

Texas attorney general and Republican Senate candidate endorsed by Trump

Paxton's version of this story ↗
John Cornyn
R · TX · SEN

Texas senator and Republican Senate candidate criticized by Trump

Part of a bigger story

84 OUTLETS
Trump Endorses Ken Paxton in Texas Senate Runoff

Outlets agree that President Donald Trump endorsed Ken Paxton over John Cornyn in the Texas Republican Senate runoff. Left-leaning outlets often stress that the endorsement could weaken Republicans in November and help Democrat James Talarico. Center outlets report the endorsement and reactions, including Republican concerns about its effects on the race and the party’s prospects. Right-leaning outlets often present Trump’s backing as a boost for Paxton and emphasize his rationale, though some also examine electoral risks or Republican dissent.

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