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● InformationalElections / Campaigns

Bombshell Texas Senate Race Poll Delivers Dire Warning for Trump With Paxton and Talarico Tied

The poll puts Paxton tied with James Talarico while showing weaknesses in several measures.

Bombshell Texas Senate Race Poll Delivers Dire Warning for Trump With Paxton and Talarico Tied
Image · The Daily Beast

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This article1 analysis · Oct 5, 2026
tl;dr

A New York Times/Siena poll puts Ken Paxton and James Talarico tied at 47 percent in the Texas Senate race. Other poll findings favor Talarico, and the article says a Talarico victory could affect control of the Senate.

Community verdict

VOTING CLOSED
How does this story look for
Ken Paxton R · TX
NOT RATEDCLOSED

No good or bad look here

This story reports what happened without casting Paxton in a good or bad light, so readers don’t rate it and it doesn’t count toward Paxton’s record.

● INFORMATIONAL

People in this story

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Ken Paxton
R · TX

Republican candidate in the Texas Senate race

PRIMARY SUBJECT

Democratic candidate in the Texas Senate race

Talarico's version of this story ↗
Donald Trump
R · President of the United States

President whose endorsement of Paxton is noted

Kamala Harris
Former U.S. Senator (D-CA)

Politician referenced through respondents who voted for her

John Cornyn
R · TX · SEN

Texas senator who faced Paxton in the Republican primary

Part of a bigger story

3 OUTLETS
NYT/Siena Poll Examines Paxton’s Texas Senate Race

The New York Times/Siena poll found Ken Paxton and James Talarico tied at 47% in the Texas Senate race among likely voters. Left-leaning outlets emphasize other findings favoring Talarico and the possible Senate-control stakes. Center outlets connect the tie to questions about Paxton’s electability and Cornyn’s criticism of the SAVE Act. Right-leaning outlets frame it as a competitive race while highlighting concerns about Paxton and vulnerabilities for both candidates.

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