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● InformationalElections / Campaigns

Top election watcher shifts Rep. Tony Gonzales' district in Democrats' direction after he leaves race

Cook cited Democratic turnout and Padilla Stout’s primary showing while assessing the district’s competitiveness.

Top election watcher shifts Rep. Tony Gonzales' district in Democrats' direction after he leaves race
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Outlet credibilitySan Antonio Current71/100 HIGH
This article1 analysis · Oct 9, 2026
tl;dr

The Cook Political Report shifted Texas’ 23rd District from “Solid Republican” to “Likely Republican,” citing concerns about Republican nominee Brandon Herrera and signs of Democratic voter energy. The change follows Rep. Tony Gonzales’ exit from the race.

Community verdict

VOTING CLOSED
How does this story look for
Katy Stout D · TX
NOT RATEDCLOSED

No good or bad look here

This story reports what happened without casting Stout in a good or bad light, so readers don’t rate it and it doesn’t count toward Stout’s record.

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People in this story

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Katy Stout
D · TX

Democratic candidate in Texas’ 23rd District race

PRIMARY SUBJECT

Republican nominee in Texas’ 23rd District race

Herrera's version of this story ↗
Donald Trump
R · President of the United States

President of the United States, mentioned in connection with the district’s 2024 vote and voter attitudes

Tony Gonzales
Former U.S. Representative (R-TX)

Texas representative who ended his reelection campaign

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