Poll shows Democrats Talarico, Hinojosa and Pulido winning big in deep-red South Texas
The poll showed Talarico leading Ken Paxton by 8% in the South Texas districts surveyed.

SOURCE CHECK
TAP FOR WHYThe San Antonio Current is a local news outlet with an identified journalist and a solid site rating. The page provides polling details, but the text does not establish the outlet’s correction practices or the poll’s full methodology.
- Source type — Local news outlet covering state and regional politics.
- Track record — The site rates the publisher 71 based on 17 stories.
- Author attribution — A named journalist is credited, with a brief description of his coverage.
- Transparency — The story identifies the poll source, sample size, field dates and margin of error, but gives limited methodological detail.
The article supplies the poll’s source, sample size, field dates and margin of error, and reports results across several races. Its limitations include a single survey source, little detail about sampling or weighting, and no response from the Republican candidates.
HOW WE SCORE ↗The article reports specific poll results across both parties’ candidates and includes the survey’s margin of error. It does not include Republican candidates’ responses or an independent assessment of the poll’s methodology, and it quotes a Democratic candidate’s statement after the results.
- Source diversity — The poll, an election analyst and a candidate are cited, but Republican candidates do not respond.
- Counterarguments presented — The opponents’ poll standings and earlier South Texas election results provide some context, but no competing interpretation of the new poll is offered.
- Omitted context — The article gives a margin of error and field dates but little detail about the poll’s methodology.
- Loaded language — The headline and opening use attention-getting language that emphasizes Democratic gains.
The article reports poll results in a mostly straightforward manner, but its headline and opening frame Democratic leads as a striking reversal of Republican gains. That gives the presentation a slight tilt toward emphasizing Democratic momentum.
- Headline — The headline characterizes Democratic candidates as “winning big.”
- Language tone — Most of the article uses neutral descriptions and reports figures without overt partisan language.
- Framing — The opening compares Republican gains to a fleeting cold snap, while the story foregrounds Democratic leads.
A Texas Southern University poll found James Talarico and Bobby Pulido leading their Republican opponents in South Texas races, while also showing leads for other Democrats in congressional contests.
Texas Southern University’s Barbara Jordan Research and Survey Center polled 1,300 likely voters in the 15th, 28th and 34th congressional districts by text message from Aug. 18 to Aug. 22. The survey reported James Talarico leading Ken Paxton by 8% in the Senate race and Gina Hinojosa leading Greg Abbott, 47% to 44%, in the governor’s race; the margin of error was plus or minus 4%. An election analysis fellow said the data suggested Talarico had secured support among Hispanic voters.
In House contests, Bobby Pulido led Monica De La Cruz by 5%, Henry Cuellar led Tano Tijerina by 9%, and Vicente Gonzalez led Eric Flores by 3%. Pulido said after the poll’s release that he was running to put South Texas first. The article also compared the poll’s results with South Texas results from the 2024 election.
Community verdict
8 VOTESPeople in this story
SWIPE →Democratic Senate candidate whose poll standing is a central focus of the article.
Democratic House candidate whose poll lead over the incumbent is a central focus.
Pulido's version of this story ↗Democratic incumbent representative whose poll lead over Eric Flores is reported.
President mentioned in a comparison with the 2024 South Texas results.
Republican House candidate running against Gonzalez.
Republican incumbent representative and Pulido’s opponent in the poll.
Democratic presidential candidate mentioned in a comparison with the 2024 South Texas results.
Republican House candidate running against Cuellar.
Republican Senate candidate and Talarico’s opponent in the poll.
Democratic incumbent representative whose poll lead over Tano Tijerina is reported.
Senator mentioned for comparison with South Texas polling in the 2024 cycle.
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