A Florida Playbook analysis describes how Democrats might capitalize on Republican vulnerabilities in the 2026 midterms, while noting the GOP’s registration and financial advantages. It identifies Senate candidate Angie Nixon as a possible wildcard and outlines risks for both parties.
Republican representative opposed by congressional candidate Leela Gray
ALSO MENTIONED Bryan Ávila, Running mate of a Florida candidate mentioned in a campaign-event listing; Christine Drazan, Oregon gubernatorial candidate mentioned in a campaign-event listing; Cord Byrd, Florida secretary of state overseeing the Office of Election Crimes and Security; David Jolly, Democratic gubernatorial nominee whose campaign is mentioned in the Florida election analysis; Delcy Rodríguez, Interim Venezuelan leader mentioned in the same discussion of Trump's political encounters; Donaldс, Candidate named in a Florida campaign-event listing; Dusty Arnold, Liberty County sheriff named as a county chair for Moody's campaign; Erika Booth, Florida state representative mentioned in the birthday list; Henry Mack, Florida education commissioner who directed schools to review books; James Uthmeier, Florida attorney general mentioned in a taxpayer-money dispute and voter-fraud enforcement item; Jeremy Matlow, Tallahassee city commissioner endorsed by Nixon for mayor; Jerry Demings, Orange County mayor who endorsed a county commission candidate; Jonathan Martin, Florida state senator named as a county chair for Moody's campaign; Kamia Brown, Former state representative endorsed for Orange County Commission; Kevin Cooper, Miami-Dade Republican Party chair named as a county chair for Moody's campaign; Lauren Book, Former Florida Senate Democratic leader endorsed for a state Senate seat; Michele Rayner, Florida state representative mentioned in the birthday list; T.K. Waters, Jacksonville sheriff named as a county chair for Moody's campaign; Wendy Sartory Link, Palm Beach County supervisor of elections quoted about Trump's vote by mail; Zohran Mamdani, New York City mayor cited in a discussion of Trump's engagement with figures associated with socialism
Republican representative opposed by congressional candidate Leela Gray
ALSO MENTIONED Bryan Ávila, Running mate of a Florida candidate mentioned in a campaign-event listing; Christine Drazan, Oregon gubernatorial candidate mentioned in a campaign-event listing; Cord Byrd, Florida secretary of state overseeing the Office of Election Crimes and Security; David Jolly, Democratic gubernatorial nominee whose campaign is mentioned in the Florida election analysis; Delcy Rodríguez, Interim Venezuelan leader mentioned in the same discussion of Trump's political encounters; Donaldс, Candidate named in a Florida campaign-event listing; Dusty Arnold, Liberty County sheriff named as a county chair for Moody's campaign; Erika Booth, Florida state representative mentioned in the birthday list; Henry Mack, Florida education commissioner who directed schools to review books; James Uthmeier, Florida attorney general mentioned in a taxpayer-money dispute and voter-fraud enforcement item; Jeremy Matlow, Tallahassee city commissioner endorsed by Nixon for mayor; Jerry Demings, Orange County mayor who endorsed a county commission candidate; Jonathan Martin, Florida state senator named as a county chair for Moody's campaign; Kamia Brown, Former state representative endorsed for Orange County Commission; Kevin Cooper, Miami-Dade Republican Party chair named as a county chair for Moody's campaign; Lauren Book, Former Florida Senate Democratic leader endorsed for a state Senate seat; Michele Rayner, Florida state representative mentioned in the birthday list; T.K. Waters, Jacksonville sheriff named as a county chair for Moody's campaign; Wendy Sartory Link, Palm Beach County supervisor of elections quoted about Trump's vote by mail; Zohran Mamdani, New York City mayor cited in a discussion of Trump's engagement with figures associated with socialism
