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Sununu's Chances of Beating Pappas in Knife-Edge NH Race

Pappas won the Democratic primary and holds a narrow advantage in several race forecasts.

Sununu's Chances of Beating Pappas in Knife-Edge NH Race
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This article1 analysis · Sep 28, 2026
Newsweek
Sep 9, 2026
tl;dr

John Sununu and Chris Pappas won their New Hampshire Senate primaries, setting up a close race for the seat held by retiring Sen. Jeanne Shaheen. Polls and forecasters give Pappas a narrow advantage, while results vary across individual surveys.

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Chris Pappas D · NH-1
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Chris Pappas
D · NH-1

Democratic Senate nominee in the New Hampshire race

PRIMARY SUBJECT

Republican Senate nominee in the New Hampshire race

Sununu's version of this story ↗

Republican Senate primary challenger defeated by Sununu

Democratic Senate primary challenger defeated by Pappas

Donald Trump
R · President of the United States

President and endorser of Sununu

Democratic House candidate who won the 1st District primary

Republican House candidate who won the 1st District primary

Kamala Harris
Former U.S. Senator (D-CA)

Former vice president cited in a comparison of New Hampshire's 2024 voting

Jeanne Shaheen
D · NH · SEN

Retiring senator whose seat is open

Democratic House primary challenger defeated by Stefany Shaheen

ALSO MENTIONED  Alex Latcham, Executive director of the Senate Leadership Fund; Lauren French, Democratic strategist commenting on Republican confidence in the race

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