South Carolina Governor Race: Nancy Mace Final Polls and Odds
Mace is trailing in most public polls as she runs in the Republican gubernatorial primary.
SOURCE CHECK
TAP FOR WHYNewsweek is an established national news outlet with an identified reporter and a mix of polling, market estimates and named expert sources. The article attributes its interpretations and forecasts, though the text does not provide the polling results themselves.
- Source type — Established national news publisher.
- Transparency — The article gives survey dates, sample sizes and margins of error, and names its expert sources.
- Author attribution — A named reporter is identified.
- Editorial standards — Claims and predictions are attributed, but the displayed text omits specific poll results.
The article cites multiple named experts, gives details about survey methodology and explains the limits of prediction markets. However, the poll results themselves are not present in the text, and the campaign perspectives are not directly represented.
HOW WE SCORE ↗The article includes several candidates’ standing, expert analysis and both polling and prediction-market estimates. It says campaigns were contacted, but the text contains no campaign responses and does not show the underlying poll results.
- Source diversity — Includes polling, prediction markets and comments from two named political science professors.
- Counterarguments presented — Discusses both Mace’s challenges and factors that could affect the broader race, but includes no campaign responses.
- Omitted context — The text describes recent surveys but does not provide their candidate-by-candidate results.
- Loaded language — Some pointed language appears in attributed quotations; the reporter’s framing is mostly restrained.
The article uses mostly neutral language and attributes its assessments to polls, prediction markets and named experts. Its coverage of Mace’s strained relationship with Trump is framed as context for the race rather than as an editorial verdict.
- Language tone — Primarily descriptive language, with critical characterizations attributed to sources or presented as background.
- Source selection — The article cites polling, prediction markets and political science professors.
- Framing — It frames the primary as a test of the state GOP and Mace’s standing, without endorsing a candidate.
Nancy Mace is trailing in most public polls ahead of South Carolina’s June 9 Republican gubernatorial primary. Prediction markets favor Lieutenant Governor Pamela Evette, whose chances rose after President Donald Trump endorsed her.
The article says Mace is behind in most public surveys and describes the primary as a test of the state GOP’s direction, with Trump’s endorsement of Evette a factor in the race. If no candidate receives more than 50 percent, the top two candidates will advance to a June 23 runoff. Political science professors cited by Newsweek discussed the candidates’ name recognition, Mace’s relationship with Trump, and the possible effect of the candidate field on turnout and vote shares.
Prediction markets favored Evette, while Wilson, Reddy and Mace had lower chances. The article also reviewed the history of Mace and Trump’s relationship, including Mace’s earlier support for him, their break after the January 6 Capitol riot, and her later endorsement of him. It said forecasters view the general election as safe or solid for Republicans, and cited experts who expected Republicans to retain an advantage.
Community verdict
VOTING CLOSED
No good or bad look here
This story reports what happened without casting Mace in a good or bad light, so readers don’t rate it and it doesn’t count toward Mace’s record.
People in this story
SWIPE →Republican candidate for South Carolina governor and U.S. representative
Former attorney general, discussed in connection with the Epstein files
President whose endorsement of Evette figures in the primary
Former president, mentioned in Mace’s past remarks
U.S. representative and Republican gubernatorial candidate
Former Democratic U.S. representative whose seat Mace won
Republican who challenged Mace in the 2022 primary
Part of a bigger story
18 OUTLETSOutlets agree that Nancy Mace lost South Carolina’s Republican gubernatorial primary and did not advance to the runoff. Left-leaning outlets present the loss as a political rebuke, connecting it to Mace’s relationship with Trump and, in some coverage, her standing in MAGA politics. Center outlets mainly report her finish and the runoff, sometimes placing the result in broader primary coverage or in the context of Trump’s influence. Right-leaning outlets emphasize the significance of Trump’s endorsement and Mace’s failure to secure it.
- ARTICLES
- 19
- OUTLETS
- 18
- AVG CRED
- 67
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